Match Info

Date: 3 September 2022, Saturday

Location: Arena Fonte Nova (Salvador)

Referee: Alves Batista E. (Bra)


	Bahia		Tombense

	1	X	2
	1.4	4.1	8.25
	1.41	3.75	8
	1.38	4.1	8.2
	1.41	4.3	10.27
	1.38	4	9.5
	1.39	4.25	8.7	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.4 ↓ (1.48)	4.08 ↑ (3.75)	8.82 ↑ (8.02)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bahia
66.7%

Draw
22.8%

Tombense
10.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

63.3%

25%

11.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

65.9%

24%

11.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bahia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)

Tombense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bahia than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tombense than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
85.7%	7.1%	7.1%

Bahia - Tombense Predictions

Users Predictions: Bahia will win (12 of 14 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 67.38% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

The great teams are gonna meet at this game. The most expected match between two teams from the very top of the group (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie A and 7).

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Tombense could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Bahia is absolute favorite.

There will not play in Tombense: Keke (Injury) Luan Rodrigues (Injury)

Last 1 head-to-head matches Bahia won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- EC Bahia
Brazilian Serie B
31.08.22	Ponte Preta - Bahia	2:0 ✺
28.08.22	Bahia - Vasco da Gama	2:1 ✺
16.08.22	Londrina - Bahia	1:1 ✺
12.08.22	Bahia - Ituano	2:0 ✺
09.08.22	Sampaio Corrêa - Bahia	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 LWTWL
- Tombense FC
Brazilian Serie B
30.08.22	Tombense - Brusque	1:0 ✺
27.08.22	Guarani - Tombense	2:1 ✺
18.08.22	Tombense - Sport Recife	1:0 ✺
13.08.22	Vasco da Gama - Tombense	3:1 ✺
09.08.22	Tombense - Vila Nova	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 WLWLT

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie B
27.05.22	Tombense - Bahia	1:0

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