Match Info

Parva liga - Relegation Group - Round 33

Date: 7 May 2025, Wednesday

Location: Bistritsa Stadium (Sofia)

Referee: Kabakov G. (Bul)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bulgaria	Diema Sport, Play Diema Xtra
Croatia	SportKlub 4
North-macedonia	MaxTV GO
Serbia	SportKlub 4


	CSKA 1948 Sofia		Hebar Pazardzhik

	1	X	2
	1.29	5.25	10	Watch
	1.28	5.25	8.75
	1.3	5.2	8.8	Watch
	1.27	5.43	11.01
	1.28	5.26	10.56	Watch
	1.29	4.8	9.5
	1.29	5.24	9.6	Watch
	1.3	5.2	8.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.29 ↓ (1.34)	5.2 ↑ (4.82)	9.63 ↑ (8.08)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

CSKA 1948 Sofia
72.4%

Draw
17.9%

Hebar Pazardzhik
9.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

69.2%

19.3%

11.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

73.5%

18.2%

10.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

CSKA 1948 Sofia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)

Hebar Pazardzhik has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for CSKA 1948 Sofia than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hebar Pazardzhik than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
72.7%	0%	27.3%

CSKA 1948 Sofia - Hebar Pazardzhik Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. CSKA 1948 will win (votes: 7 - 70%). Hebar will win (votes: 3 - 30%).
Confidence interval (95%) for CSKA 1948: 41.6% – 98.4%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Hebar (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.75 - over (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Marinov P. (G) 41. Albenas M. 14. Ivanov T. 21. Tsenov E. 30. Acheampong C. 6. Eta K. 20. Luann 11. Cassiano 7. Thalis 10. Kirilov R. (C) 25. Jeka	97. Rosa M. (G) 44. Nikolaev N. 29. Zebic M. 33. Tsonkov S. (C) 21. Penchev B. 77. N'Zi J. 20. Petrovic M. 11. Vukovic D. 70. Dunnwald-Turan K. 55. Guermouche Y. 88. Rusinov I.
Substitutes
18. Dimitrov B. 19. Furtado S. 9. Karagaren B. 26. Krastev K. 3. Petkov M. 13. Sciortino P. 44. Strinski K. 34. Vitanov P. 31. Yankov M. (G)	14. Angelov Y. 10. Ganev C. 15. Kondrakov D. 7. Nassar Chouiter S. 18. Pasagic O. 99. Paskulov D. (G) 2. Pavlek D. 8. Tsoumou J. 9. Ushagelov T.
Coaches
Stoyanov I.	Vutsov V.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
16', Albenas M. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Albenas M. ↓, Furtado S. ↑,
55', Kirilov R. ↓, Karagaren B. ↑,
56', Vukovic D. 🟨,
69', Acheampong C. 🟨,
69', Vukovic D. ↓, Nassar Chouiter S. ↑,
76', Petrovic M. 🟨,
77', Luann ↓, Sciortino P. ↑,
86', Dunnwald-Turan K. ↓, Ushagelov T. ↑,
90+2', Thalis ↓, Vitanov P. ↑,
90+2', Jeka ↓, Dimitrov B. ↑,
90+3', Guermouche Y. ↓, Tsoumou J. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, CSKA 1948 won 3.

Neither of the teams is performing well right now.

In this match, CSKA 1948 is the undeniable favorite.

There will not play in CSKA 1948: Vasilev S. (Ankle Injury)

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, CSKA 1948 won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 17:8. (average 1.9:0.9).

Including home matches between the teams, CSKA 1948 won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 4:4. (average 1.3:1.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CSKA 1948 Sofia
Bulgarian Parva Liga
02.05.25	Slavia Sofia - CSKA 1948 Sofia	0:1 ✺
28.04.25	CSKA 1948 Sofia - Botev Vratsa	0:1 ✺
21.04.25	CSKA 1948 Sofia - Hebar Pazardzhik	1:3 ✺
11.04.25	Beroe Stara Zagora - CSKA 1948 Sofia	2:0 ✺
07.04.25	CSKA 1948 Sofia - Ludogorets Razgrad	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 WLLLL
- Hebar Pazardzhik
Bulgarian Parva Liga
01.05.25	Hebar Pazardzhik - Krumovgrad	1:3 ✺
25.04.25	Slavia Sofia - Hebar Pazardzhik	3:2 ✺
21.04.25	CSKA 1948 Sofia - Hebar Pazardzhik	1:3 ✺
14.04.25	Hebar Pazardzhik - Ludogorets Razgrad	0:2 ✺
06.04.25	Krumovgrad - Hebar Pazardzhik	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.6 LLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Bulgarian Parva Liga
21.04.25	CSKA 1948 Sofia - Hebar Pazardzhik	1:3
10.11.24	Hebar Pazardzhik - CSKA 1948 Sofia	1:1
Club Friendly
23.03.24	Hebar Pazardzhik - CSKA 1948 Sofia	1:4
03.02.24	Hebar Pazardzhik - CSKA 1948 Sofia	0:2
Bulgarian Parva Liga
02.12.23	Hebar Pazardzhik - CSKA 1948 Sofia	1:3
07.08.23	CSKA 1948 Sofia - Hebar Pazardzhik	1:1
11.02.23	CSKA 1948 Sofia - Hebar Pazardzhik	2:0

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