Match Info

Parva liga - Round 29

Date: 14 April 2025, Monday

Location: Stadion Georgi Benkovski (Pazardzhik)

Referee: Gidzhenov R. (Bul)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bulgaria	Diema Sport, Play Diema Xtra


	Hebar Pazardzhik		Ludogorets Razgrad

	1	X	2
	12	5.75	1.25	Watch
	12.5	6.5	1.19
	12	5.8	1.22	Watch
	11.31	6.13	1.23	Watch
	11.4	5.68	1.24	Watch
	12	5.8	1.22
Avarage Now (Initially)	11.87 ↓ (13.39)	5.94 ↓ (6.86)	1.23 ↑ (1.16)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hebar Pazardzhik
7.9%

Draw
15.7%

Ludogorets Razgrad
76.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

6.9%

13.5%

79.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hebar Pazardzhik has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

Ludogorets Razgrad has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
7.1%	7.1%	85.7%

Hebar Pazardzhik - Ludogorets Razgrad Predictions

Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Hebar will win (votes: 1 - 7.1%). Ludogorets will win (votes: 12 - 85.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 7.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Ludogorets: 67.4% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Ludogorets (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +2 - Hebar (1.65) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -0.5 - Ludogorets (1.19) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Hebar (votes: 1 - 25%). Ludogorets (votes: 3 - 75%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
97. Rosa M. (G) 44. Nikolaev N. 33. Tsonkov S. 29. Zebic M. 27. Mazan R. 20. Petrovic M. 98. Markelo N. 11. Vukovic D. 55. Guermouche Y. 8. N'Zi J. 70. Makni N.	1. Padt S. (G) 11. Caio Vidal 24. Verdon O. 4. Almeida D. 3. Nedyalkov A. 23. Duarte D. 77. Erick Marcus 18. Chochev I. 20. Camara A. 17. Son 10. Baroan A.
Substitutes
17. Budinov I. 15. Kondrakov D. 7. Nassar Chouiter S. . Pasagic O. 99. Paskulov D. (G) 2. Pavlek D. 88. Rusinov I. . Tsoumou J. 9. Ushagelov T.	39. Bonmann H. (G) 9. Duah K. 15. Kurtulus E. 8. Nedelev T. 6. Piotrowski J. 25. Rodriguez E. 19. Rusev G. 16. Witry A. F. 82. Yordanov I.
Coaches
Vutsov V.	Jovicevic I.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
29', Nedyalkov A. 🟨,
40', Makni N. 🟨,
45+2', Verdon O. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Verdon O. ↓, Kurtulus E. ↑,
52', Son 🟨,
59', Camara A. 🟨,
62', N'Zi J. 🟨,
64', Camara A. ↓, Piotrowski J. ↑,
64', Baroan A. ↓, Duah K. ↑,
69', Vukovic D. ↓, Budinov I. ↑,
72', Piotrowski J. 🟨,
78', 0 - 1, Erick Marcus ⚽, Caio Vidal (A),
83', Caio Vidal 🟨,
85', Guermouche Y. ↓, Kondrakov D. ↑,
86', Nikolaev N. ↓, Nassar Chouiter S. ↑,
89', 0 - 2, Caio Vidal ⚽,
90', Caio Vidal ↓, Rusev G. ↑,
90+5', Chochev I. ↓, Yordanov I. ↑,

Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and an outsider (ranked 16 in the zone Parva liga (Relegation Group: ) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Parva liga (Championship Group: )).

Hebar is Parva liga (Relegation Group )

Ludogorets is Qualified for Parva liga (Championship Group )

Last 5 head-to-head matches Hebar won 0.

Hebar is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Ludogorets is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Hebar could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Ludogorets is indisputable favorite.

There will not play in Ludogorets: Pedro Naressi (Inactive)

Last 7 head-to-head matches Hebar won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 2:27 (average 0.3:3.9).

Including matches at home between the teams Hebar won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 1:11 (average 0.3:3.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hebar Pazardzhik
Bulgarian Parva Liga
06.04.25	Krumovgrad - Hebar Pazardzhik	1:0 ✺
03.04.25	Hebar Pazardzhik - Lokomotiv Plovdiv	0:0 ✺
28.03.25	Botev Vratsa - Hebar Pazardzhik	1:0 ✺
15.03.25	Hebar Pazardzhik - Lokomotiv Sofia	2:1 ✺
10.03.25	Septemvri Sofia - Hebar Pazardzhik	6:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.2 LTLWL
- Ludogorets Razgrad
Bulgarian Cup
10.04.25	Botev Vratsa - Ludogorets Razgrad	0:1 ✺
Bulgarian Parva Liga
07.04.25	CSKA 1948 Sofia - Ludogorets Razgrad	1:3 ✺
03.04.25	Ludogorets Razgrad - Krumovgrad	3:0 ✺
30.03.25	Lokomotiv Plovdiv - Ludogorets Razgrad	1:0 ✺
15.03.25	Ludogorets Razgrad - Botev Vratsa	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Bulgarian Parva Liga
03.11.24	Ludogorets Razgrad - Hebar Pazardzhik	3:0
Bulgarian Cup
02.05.24	Hebar Pazardzhik - Ludogorets Razgrad	0:5
24.04.24	Ludogorets Razgrad - Hebar Pazardzhik	4:0
Bulgarian Parva Liga
20.04.24	Hebar Pazardzhik - Ludogorets Razgrad	0:3
29.10.23	Ludogorets Razgrad - Hebar Pazardzhik	3:1
18.03.23	Hebar Pazardzhik - Ludogorets Razgrad	1:3
04.09.22	Ludogorets Razgrad - Hebar Pazardzhik	6:0

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