Match Info

BULGARIA: VTORA LIGA - ROUND 18

Date: 7 December 2023, Thursday


	CSKA 1948 Sofia II		Spartak Varna

	1	X	2
	3.1	2.95	2.3	Watch
	3.41	2.93	2.31
	3.41	2.72	2.22
	2.45	3.1	2.45
	3.32	2.92	2.18	Watch
	3.3	2.9	2.22
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.17 ↑ (2.02)	2.92 ↓ (3.2)	2.28 ↓ (3.38)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

CSKA 1948 Sofia II
28.8%

Draw
31.2%

Spartak Varna
40%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.9%

28.3%

26.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.3%

29.2%

26%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

CSKA 1948 Sofia II has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-16.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that CSKA 1948 Sofia II's form might have worsened.

Spartak Varna has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Spartak Varna's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for CSKA 1948 Sofia II than the current prediction. (+17.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for CSKA 1948 Sofia II, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Spartak Varna than the current prediction. (-14%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Spartak Varna, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	0%	75%

CSKA 1948 Sofia II - Spartak Varna Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. CSKA 1948 II will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Spartak Varna will win (votes: 3 - 75%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
57. Nistorov S. (G) 40. Acheampong C. 46. Atanasov M. (C) 47. Bozhinov R. 44. Daskalov R. 73. Dobrev S. 84. Ivanov T. 80. Rusinov I. 49. Strinski K. 31. Tonev M. 66. Zhelyazkov N.	89. Videnov N. (G) 29. Ahmedov A. 5. Baurenski Y. 2. Boev V. 44. Granchov A. 13. Ivanov G. 9. Mehmed M. 75. N'Zi J. 10. Rumenov R. (C) 6. Tsvetkov A. 81. Zehirov A.
Substitutes
88. Ademov A. 45. Antonov P. 48. Bakalov A. 43. Boychev K. 41. Grozdanov K. 67. Marinov P. (G) 55. Tiago Barbosa 70. Tsekov N.	78. Angelov A. 99. Halachev D. 18. Hyusein H. 7. Iliev E. 19. Kurbanov K. 11. Mitev V. 45. Nachev D. 3. Petrov P. 23. Zhekov D.

Preview

Watch a game between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a team which is a leader now (ranked 9 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Parva liga).

At the moment teams are feeling good and ready to play.

Spartak Varna could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 3 head-to-head matches CSKA 1948 II won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 3-7.

Including matches at home between the teams CSKA 1948 II won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CSKA 1948 Sofia II
Bulgarian Vtora Liga
03.12.23	Maritsa Plovdiv - CSKA 1948 Sofia II	1:0 ✺
10.11.23	CSKA 1948 Sofia II - Belasitsa Petrich	0:0 ✺
03.11.23	Bdin Vidin - CSKA 1948 Sofia II	1:1 ✺
27.10.23	CSKA 1948 Sofia II - Chernomorets Burgas	1:0 ✺
22.10.23	Yantra Gabrovo - CSKA 1948 Sofia II	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 LTTWW
- Spartak Varna
Bulgarian Vtora Liga
03.12.23	Spartak Varna - Sportist Svoge	2:2 ✺
Bulgarian Cup
18.11.23	Lokomotiv Sofia - Spartak Varna	0:1 penalties ✺
Bulgarian Vtora Liga
12.11.23	Spartak Pleven - Spartak Varna	2:1 ✺
07.11.23	Spartak Varna - Ludogorets II	4:0 ✺
Bulgarian Cup
01.11.23	Spartak Varna - Krumovgrad	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.8 TWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Bulgarian Vtora Liga
16.07.23	Spartak Varna - CSKA 1948 Sofia II	2:1
27.02.22	CSKA 1948 Sofia II - Spartak Varna	2:3
14.08.21	Spartak Varna - CSKA 1948 Sofia II	2:0

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