Match Info

Date: 29 October 2020, Thursday


	CSKA Moscow		Dinamo Zagreb

	1	X	2
	1.9	3.5	4.1
	1.95	3.4	4.1
	1.9	3.55	4.25
	1.93	3.4	3.95
	1.94	3.5	4.27
	1.91	3.5	4
	1.91	3.78	4.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.92 ↓ (2.02)	3.52 ↑ (3.3)	4.13 ↑ (3.92)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

CSKA Moscow
49.7%

Draw
27.1%

Dinamo Zagreb
23.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47%

28.8%

24.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.7%

22.3%

18.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

CSKA Moscow has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

Dinamo Zagreb has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for CSKA Moscow than the current prediction. (+11%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for CSKA Moscow, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dinamo Zagreb than the current prediction. (-4.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
77.4%	4.8%	17.9%

CSKA Moscow - Dinamo Zagreb Predictions

Users Predictions: 84 users predict this event. CSKA will win (votes: 65 - 77.4%). Dinamo Zagreb will win (votes: 15 - 17.9%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 4.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for CSKA: 68.5% – 86.3%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Limited number of spectators.

CSKA has a good chance of round of 32 (72%), has a chance of round of 16 (36%), has a chance of qtrs (16%), has a small chance of semis (7%), has a very small chance of final (3%), has a very small chance of win league (1%).

Dinamo Zagreb has a good chance of round of 32 (60%), has a chance of round of 16 (26%), has a small chance of qtrs (10%), has a very small chance of semis (4%), has a very small chance of final (1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

CSKA is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Dinamo Zagreb in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Dinamo Zagreb could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match CSKA is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches CSKA won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CSKA Moscow
Russian Premier League
26.10.20	CSKA Moscow - Arsenal Tula	5:1 ✺
UEFA Europa League
22.10.20	Wolfsberger - CSKA Moscow	1:1 ✺
Russian Premier League
18.10.20	CSKA Moscow - Dynamo Moscow	3:1 ✺
Club Friendly
13.10.20	CSKA Moscow - Arsenal Tula	1:1 ✺
Russian Premier League
03.10.20	Ural - CSKA Moscow	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 WTWTW
- Dinamo Zagreb
Croatian HNL
25.10.20	Šibenik - Dinamo Zagreb	0:2 ✺
UEFA Europa League
22.10.20	Dinamo Zagreb - Feyenoord	0:0 ✺
Croatian HNL
17.10.20	Dinamo Zagreb - Gorica	3:2 ✺
04.10.20	Varaždin - Dinamo Zagreb	1:2 ✺
UEFA Europa League
01.10.20	Dinamo Zagreb - Flora Tallinn	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 WTWWW

Latest Head to Head

Copa X
30.01.16	Dinamo Zagreb - CSKA Moscow	0:0

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