The best margin for this event is 8.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
CSKA Moscow 57.2%
Draw 22.2%
Arsenal Tula 20.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
60.3%
20.1%
19.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
62.3%
19.5%
19%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
CSKA Moscow has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)
Arsenal Tula has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for CSKA Moscow than the current prediction. (+5.1%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for CSKA Moscow, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arsenal Tula than the current prediction. (-1.6%)
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 1)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, CSKA won 3.
CSKA has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
Arsenal is experiencing a dip in performance (last 5 matches: 0 wins).
Recently, CSKA has faced a series of away games on the road.
In this matchup, CSKA is considered the favorite to take the win.
In the last 19 head-to-head meetings, CSKA has recorded 12 wins, 2 draws, and 5 losses, with a goal aggregate of 40:17 (averaging 2.1:0.9 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for CSKA against this opponent, the record stands at 8 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses, with 28:7 goals (averaging 2.5:0.6 per game).
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