Match Info

Date: 22 October 2020, Thursday


	Wolfsberger		CSKA Moscow

	1	X	2
	3.2	3.5	2.2
	3.2	3.5	2.2
	3.25	3.5	2.18
	3.15	3.4	2.18
	3.33	3.49	2.24
	3.1	3.4	2.25
	3.58	3.74	2.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.26 ↓ (3.34)	3.5 ↓ (3.64)	2.21 ↑ (2.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 0.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Wolfsberger
29.4%

Draw
27.3%

CSKA Moscow
43.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.5%

26.2%

45.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21.9%

20.2%

58.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Wolfsberger has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

CSKA Moscow has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Wolfsberger than the current prediction. (-7.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Wolfsberger that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for CSKA Moscow than the current prediction. (+15.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that CSKA Moscow could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
24.1%	19.5%	56.3%

Wolfsberger - CSKA Moscow Predictions

Users Predictions: 87 users predict this event. Wolfsberger will win (votes: 21 - 24.1%). CSKA will win (votes: 49 - 56.3%). It will Tie (votes: 17 - 19.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for CSKA: 45.9% – 66.7%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Limited number of spectators. Playing home matches at a different stadium - Wörthersee Stadion.

Wolfsberger has a chance of round of 32 (22%), has a very small chance of round of 16 (5%), has a very small chance of qtrs (1%), has a very small chance of semis (<1%), has a very small chance of final (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

CSKA has a good chance of round of 32 (72%), has a chance of round of 16 (35%), has a small chance of qtrs (15%), has a small chance of semis (6%), has a very small chance of final (3%), has a very small chance of win league (1%).

Recent matches Wolfsberger is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

CSKA is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

CSKA could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

CSKA will have a mini benefit in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Wolfsberger AC
Austrian OFB Cup
18.10.20	Wolfsberger - Ried	3:2 penalties ✺
Austrian Bundesliga
03.10.20	Wolfsberger - St. Pölten	2:4 ✺
27.09.20	LASK Linz - Wolfsberger	3:1 ✺
20.09.20	Hartberg - Wolfsberger	0:2 ✺
13.09.20	Wolfsberger - Red Bull Salzburg	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 WLLWL
- CSKA Moscow
Russian Premier League
18.10.20	CSKA Moscow - Dynamo Moscow	3:1 ✺
Club Friendly
13.10.20	CSKA Moscow - Arsenal Tula	1:1 ✺
Russian Premier League
03.10.20	Ural - CSKA Moscow	0:2 ✺
27.09.20	CSKA Moscow - Lokomotiv Moscow	0:1 ✺
20.09.20	Ufa - CSKA Moscow	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 WTWLW

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