Match Info

Premier League - Round 20

Date: 8 March 2026, Sunday

Location: VEB Arena (Moscow)

Where to Watch on TV:


North-macedonia	MaxTV GO
Russia	Match! Premier, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
Serbia	Arena Sport 3


	CSKA Moscow		Dynamo Moscow

	1	X	2
	2.33	3.68	3.09
	2.35	3.66	3.01	Watch
	2.12	3.47	3.08
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.27 ↑ (2.12)	3.6 ↑ (3.45)	3.06 ↓ (3.08)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

CSKA Moscow
42.2%

Draw
26.5%

Dynamo Moscow
31.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.4%

26.7%

29.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.8%

25.9%

29%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

CSKA Moscow has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

Dynamo Moscow has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for CSKA Moscow than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dynamo Moscow than the current prediction. (-2.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	25%	25%

CSKA Moscow - Dynamo Moscow Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. CSKA will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Dynamo M will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
35. Akinfeev I. (C) 22. Gajic M. 4. Joao Victor 2. Matheus Reis 27. Moises 6. Barinov D. 31. Kislyak M. 3. Krugovoy D. 10. Oblyakov I. 17. Glebov K. 9. Gondou L.	40. Rasulov K. (G) 4. Caceres J. 2. Marichal N. 55. Osipenko M. 7. Skopintsev D. 44. Rubens 74. Fomin D. (C) 13. Moumi Ngamaleu N. 10. Bitello 11. Arthur Gomes 70. Tyukavin K.
Substitutes
67. Badmaev M. 52. Bandikyan A. 79. Danilov K. 37. Henrique Carmo 18. Kozlov D. 90. Lukin M. 7. Matheus Alves 11. Musaev T. 20. Popovic M. 19. Ruiz D. 49. Torop V. (G) 97. Voronov M.	17. Babaev U. 79. Balakhonov M. 57. David Ricardo 91. Gladyshev Y. 15. Glebov D. 47. Kudravets A. (G) 50. Kutitsky A. 14. Maouhoub E. 60. Marinkin T. 88. Okishor V. 33. Sergeev I. 56. Zaydenzal L.
Coaches
Celestini F.	Gusev R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
13', 0 - 1, Marichal N. ⚽, Bitello (A),
17', Gondou L. 🟥,
30', Marichal N. 🟨,
45+4', 0 - 2, Marichal N. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
46', Skopintsev D. ↓, Zaydenzal L. ↑,
52', Rubens 🟨,
58', 1 - 2, Moises ⚽, Joao Victor (A),
59', Arthur Gomes ↓, Marinkin T. ↑,
59', Rubens ↓, Gladyshev Y. ↑,
62', Barinov D. ↓, Matheus Alves ↑,
62', Gajic M. ↓, Musaev T. ↑,
66', 1 - 3, Bitello ⚽, Tyukavin K. (A),
73', Tyukavin K. ↓, Kutitsky A. ↑,
74', Zaydenzal L. ↓, Sergeev I. ↑,
75', Oblyakov I. ↓, Voronov M. ↑,
76', Glebov K. ↓, Kozlov D. ↑,
84', 1 - 4, Caceres J. ⚽, Sergeev I. (A),
85', Krugovoy D. ↓, Henrique Carmo ↑,

Preview

One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 4 and 8).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, CSKA won 3.

Now, both teams are in good form.

Dynamo M may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, CSKA won 7 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 29:34. (average 1.5:1.7).

Including home matches between the teams, CSKA won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 15:15. (average 1.5:1.5).

Outrights of Russian Premier League for now

Dynamo Moscow: 7.61% CSKA Moscow: 6.69%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Dynamo Moscow	9	6	1	2	14:8	6	19
5	CSKA Moscow	9	5	4	0	15:9	6	19

Last Results with these Odds

CSKA Moscow - the odds 2.12 are the expected chance of winning is 43.43%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CSKA Moscow
Russian Cup
04.03.26	CSKA Moscow - Krasnodar	3:1 ✺
Russian Premier League
01.03.26	Akhmat Grozny - CSKA Moscow	1:0 ✺
Club Friendly
21.02.26	CSKA Moscow - Lokomotiv Moscow	3:2 ✺
18.02.26	CSKA Moscow - Rostov	3:1 ✺
10.02.26	Zenit - CSKA Moscow	2:3 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17 WLWWW
- FC Dynamo Moscow
Russian Cup
05.03.26	Dynamo Moscow - Spartak Moscow	5:2 ✺
Russian Premier League
01.03.26	Dynamo Moscow - Krylya Sovetov	4:0 ✺
Club Friendly
16.02.26	Ural - Dynamo Moscow	1:2 ✺
16.02.26	Ural - Dynamo Moscow	2:1 ✺
10.02.26	Dynamo Moscow - Krasnodar	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.4 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
06.02.26	CSKA Moscow - Dynamo Moscow	1:1
Russian Premier League
17.08.25	Dynamo Moscow - CSKA Moscow	1:3
Russian Cup
16.04.25	Dynamo Moscow - CSKA Moscow	0:0
Russian Premier League
06.04.25	CSKA Moscow - Dynamo Moscow	3:1
Russian Cup
12.03.25	CSKA Moscow - Dynamo Moscow	2:1
Russian Premier League
06.10.24	Dynamo Moscow - CSKA Moscow	1:2
Club Friendly
24.02.24	Dynamo Moscow - CSKA Moscow	2:1

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