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Current Win Probability
CSKA Moscow 19.5%
Draw 24.7%
Zenit 55.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
26.9%
26.9%
46.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
25.6%
25.6%
48.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
CSKA Moscow has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.4%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that CSKA Moscow's form might have worsened.
Zenit has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.5%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Zenit's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for CSKA Moscow than the current prediction. (+6.1%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for CSKA Moscow, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Zenit than the current prediction. (-7.1%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Zenit, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
16.7%
33.3%
50%
CSKA Moscow - Zenit Predictions
Users Predictions:
6 users predict this event. CSKA will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Zenit will win (votes: 3 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
49. Torop V. (G) 22. Gajic M. 4. Joao Victor 79. Danilov K. 3. Krugovoy D. 6. Barinov D. 31. Kislyak M. 9. Gondou L. 10. Oblyakov I. (C) 20. Popovic M. 11. Musaev T.
16. Adamov D. (G) 6. Drkusic V. 78. Diveev I. 33. Nino 3. Santos D. (C) 5. Barrios W. 8. Wendel 11. Luiz Henrique 10. Glushenkov M. 20. Pedrinho 7. Sobolev A.
Substitutes
67. Badmaev M. 52. Bandikyan A. 99. Barovskiy N. (G) 85. Besaev E. (G) 62. Firov I. 37. Henrique Carmo 18. Kozlov D. 7. Matheus Alves 2. Matheus Reis 97. Voronov M.
23. Adamov A. 28. Alip N. 9. Duran J. 21. Erokhin A. 31. Gustavo Mantuan 14. Jhon Jhon 15. Karavaev V. 41. Kerzhakov M. (G) 61. Kondakov D. 57. Moskvichev B. (G) 17. Mostovoy A. 66. Vega R.
Coaches
Celestini F.
Semak S.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
4', 1 - 0, Oblyakov I. (Penalty Awarded),
19', Nino 🟨,
30', 1 - 1, Diveev I. ⚽, Pedrinho (A),
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Popovic M. 🟨,
51', 1 - 2, Sobolev A. ⚽, Glushenkov M. (A),
57', Popovic M. ↓, Matheus Reis ↑,
59', Gajic M. 🟨,
60', 1 - 3, Luiz Henrique ⚽, Glushenkov M. (A),
66', Gondou L. ↓, Henrique Carmo ↑,
67', Glushenkov M. 🟨,
76', Barinov D. 🟨,
82', Kislyak M. ↓, Voronov M. ↑,
82', Oblyakov I. ↓, Matheus Alves ↑,
82', Musaev T. ↓, Kozlov D. ↑,
82', Glushenkov M. ↓, Kondakov D. ↑,
88', Pedrinho ↓, Vega R. ↑,
90+3', Sobolev A. ↓, Erokhin A. ↑,
Preview
One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 6 and 2).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, CSKA won 2.
The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
In this match, Zenit is the team to beat.
There will not play in CSKA: Akinfeev I.
(Muscle Injury)
Glebov K.
(Hip Injury)
Lukin M.
(Hip Injury)
There will not play in Zenit: Shilov V.
(Knee Injury)
There are questionable in CSKA: Moises
(Injury)
There are questionable in Zenit: Gustavo Mantuan
(Muscle Injury)
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, CSKA won 4 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 17:29. (average 0.9:1.5).
Including home matches between the teams, CSKA won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 8:15. (average 0.9:1.7).
Asia
Belarus
Croatia
North-macedonia
Russia
Serbia
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Torop V. (G) 
Gajic M. 
Joao Victor 
Gondou L. 
Drkusic V. 
Barrios W. 
Bandikyan A. 
Alip N. 
Celestini F. 
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