Match Info

Premier League - Round 24

Date: 12 April 2026, Sunday

Location: Gazprom Arena (Saint Petersburg)

Referee: Karasev S. (Rus)

Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	Q Football Asia
Belarus	Belarus 5
Croatia	Arena Sport 3, MAXtv To Go
North-macedonia	MaxTV GO
Russia	Match! Premier, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
Serbia	Arena Sport 3


	Zenit		Krasnodar

	1	X	2
	2.16	3.36	3.87
	2.13	3.41	3.99	Watch
	1.74	3.6	4.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.01 ↑ (1.71)	3.46 ↓ (3.6)	4.12 ↓ (4.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 1.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Zenit
48.3%

Draw
28.1%

Krasnodar
23.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.4%

25.8%

19.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.1%

25%

19.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Zenit has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Zenit's form might have worsened.

Krasnodar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Zenit than the current prediction. (+7.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Zenit, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Krasnodar than the current prediction. (-4.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	66.7%	0%

Zenit - Krasnodar Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Zenit will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
16. Adamov D. (G) 6. Drkusic V. 78. Diveev I. 33. Nino 3. Santos D. (C) 5. Barrios W. 8. Wendel 11. Luiz Henrique 10. Glushenkov M. 14. Jhon Jhon 7. Sobolev A.	1. Agkatsev S. (G) 20. Gonzalez G. 3. Tormena 4. Diego Costa 15. Olaza L. 6. Lenini K. 66. Douglas Augusto 88. Krivtsov N. 10. Spertsyan E. (C) 11. Joao Batxi 9. Cordoba J.
Substitutes
23. Adamov A. 28. Alip N. 9. Duran J. 21. Erokhin A. 4. Gorshkov Y. 15. Karavaev V. 61. Kondakov D. 1. Latyshonok E. (G) 57. Moskvichev B. (G) 17. Mostovoy A. 20. Pedrinho 66. Vega R.	23. Boselli J. 27. Burkin E. 90. Cobnan M. D. 29. Guseynov E. 5. Jubal Junior 34. Karpenko A. (G) 59. Khmarin A. 16. Koryakin A. (G) 17. Paltsev V.
Coaches
Semak S.	Musaev M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
27', 1 - 0, Wendel ⚽, Luiz Henrique (A),
44', Drkusic V. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
51', Krivtsov N. 🟨,
69', 1 - 1, Olaza L. ⚽, Cordoba J. (A),
71', Jhon Jhon ↓, Pedrinho ↑,
78', Pedrinho 🟥,
79', Joao Batxi ↓, Boselli J. ↑,
82', Glushenkov M. ↓, Vega R. ↑,
86', Lenini K. 🟨,
88', Gonzalez G. ↓, Paltsev V. ↑,
89', Krivtsov N. ↓, Cobnan M. D. ↑,
90+2', Santos D. ↓, Alip N. ↑,
90+7', 🟨,

Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 2 and 1).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Zenit won 3.

Zenit is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Krasnodar is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Recently, Zenit has had a series of home games.

In this match, Zenit is a strong favorite.

There will not play in Zenit: Shilov V. (Inactive)

There will not play in Krasnodar: Chernikov A. (Red Card) Koksharov A. (Injury) Petrov S. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Stezhko V. (Inactive)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Zenit won 13 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 41:26. (average 2.1:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Zenit won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 21:13. (average 2.3:1.4).

Outrights of Russian Premier League for now

Krasnodar: 14.68%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Zenit	10	7	0	3	22:11	11	21
2	Krasnodar	10	6	3	1	16:10	6	21

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Zenit St Petersburg
Russian Cup
08.04.26	Zenit - Spartak Moscow	0:1 penalties ✺
Russian Premier League
04.04.26	Zenit - Krylya Sovetov	2:1 ✺
Club Friendly
28.03.26	Zenit - Kairat	2:0 ✺
Russian Premier League
22.03.26	Dynamo Moscow - Zenit	1:3 ✺
Russian Cup
18.03.26	Zenit - Dynamo Makhachkala	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 LWWWW
- FC Krasnodar
Russian Cup
08.04.26	Dynamo Moscow - Krasnodar	0:0 ✺
Russian Premier League
04.04.26	Akhmat Grozny - Krasnodar	0:1 ✺
21.03.26	Krasnodar - Nizhny Novgorod	5:0 ✺
Russian Cup
17.03.26	Krasnodar - CSKA Moscow	4:0 ✺
Russian Premier League
14.03.26	Sochi - Krasnodar	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 TWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
17.02.26	Krasnodar - Zenit	0:1
06.02.26	Krasnodar - Zenit	3:0
Russian Premier League
21.09.25	Krasnodar - Zenit	0:2
13.04.25	Zenit - Krasnodar	4:1
28.09.24	Krasnodar - Zenit	2:0
Russian Super Cup
13.07.24	Zenit - Krasnodar	4:2
Russian Premier League
13.04.24	Krasnodar - Zenit	1:2

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