Match Info

Premier League - Round 27

Date: 25 April 2026, Saturday

Location: Ak Bars Arena (Kazan)

Referee: Shafeev R. (Rus)

Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	Q Football Asia
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 6
Croatia	Arena Sport 8, MAXtv To Go
North-macedonia	MaxTV GO
Russia	Match! Premier, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
Serbia	Arena Sport 1


	Rubin Kazan		CSKA Moscow

	1	X	2
	3.1	3.41	2.44
	3.07	3.5	2.47
	2.54	3.14	2.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.9 ↓ (3.2)	3.35 ↓ (3.54)	2.45 ↑ (2.38)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 1.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rubin Kazan
32.8%

Draw
28.4%

CSKA Moscow
38.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.8%

27.8%

41.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.8%

27.8%

41.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rubin Kazan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

CSKA Moscow has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rubin Kazan than the current prediction. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for CSKA Moscow than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

Rubin Kazan - CSKA Moscow Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
38. Staver E. (G) 98. Lobov N. 5. Vujacic I. (C) 2. Teslenko E. 12. Arroyo A. 22. Hodza V. 7. Saavedra I. 51. Rozhkov I. 11. Gripshi N. 10. Daku M. 43. Siwe J.	49. Torop V. (G) 3. Krugovoy D. 4. Joao Victor 79. Danilov K. 27. Moises 10. Oblyakov I. (C) 6. Barinov D. 37. Henrique Carmo 7. Matheus Alves 20. Popovic M. 11. Musaev T.
Substitutes
23. Bezrukov R. 27. Gritsaenko A. 19. Ivanov O. 70. Kabutov D. 44. Kuznetsov D. 14. Kuzyaev D. 3. Maldonado D. 59. Motorin D. N. 25. Nigmatullin A. (G) 4. Nizhegorodov K. 99. Shabanhaxhaj D. 21. Zotov A.	67. Badmaev M. 52. Bandikyan A. 99. Barovskiy N. (G) 85. Besaev E. (G) 62. Firov I. 9. Gondou L. 31. Kislyak M. 18. Kozlov D. 2. Matheus Reis 19. Ruiz D. 97. Voronov M.
Coaches
Artiga F.	Celestini F.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
5', Vujacic I. 🟨,
27', Lobov N. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Lobov N. ↓, Maldonado D. ↑,
46', Henrique Carmo ↓, Kislyak M. ↑,
46', Matheus Alves ↓, Gondou L. ↑,
51', Danilov K. 🟨,
62', Gondou L. 🟨,
64', Gripshi N. ↓, Bezrukov R. ↑,
64', Siwe J. ↓, Shabanhaxhaj D. ↑,
66', Popovic M. ↓, Matheus Reis ↑,
72', Moises ↓, Kozlov D. ↑,
80', Arroyo A. ↓, Kabutov D. ↑,
86', Saavedra I. 🟨,
86', Rozhkov I. ↓, Nizhegorodov K. ↑,

Preview

A great opportunity to watch a clash of neighbouring teams in the table (ranked 7 and 6)

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Rubin won 0.

Rubin is showing really good form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

CSKA has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Rubin may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Rubin won 5 matches, drew 8 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 18:33. (average 0.9:1.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Rubin won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:4. (average 0.7:0.4).

Outrights of Russian Premier League for now

CSKA Moscow: 6.69% Rubin Kazan: 0.84%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	CSKA Moscow	9	5	4	0	15:9	6	19
7	Rubin Kazan	9	2	6	1	12:11	1	12

Last Results with these Odds

CSKA Moscow - the odds 2.38 are the expected chance of winning is 41.39%, but this team recently wins 56% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Rubin Kazan
Russian Premier League
22.04.26	Dynamo Moscow - Rubin Kazan	0:1 ✺
18.04.26	Rubin Kazan - Akron Tolyatti	1:1 ✺
11.04.26	Rubin Kazan - Orenburg	0:0 ✺
06.04.26	Sochi - Rubin Kazan	0:1 ✺
22.03.26	Krylya Sovetov - Rubin Kazan	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.4 WTTWT
- CSKA Moscow
Russian Premier League
21.04.26	CSKA Moscow - Rostov	1:1 ✺
18.04.26	Krylya Sovetov - CSKA Moscow	1:1 ✺
12.04.26	CSKA Moscow - Sochi	0:1 ✺
Russian Cup
07.04.26	Krylya Sovetov - CSKA Moscow	2:5 ✺
Russian Premier League
04.04.26	Akron Tolyatti - CSKA Moscow	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 TTLWW

Latest Head to Head

Russian Premier League
09.08.25	CSKA Moscow - Rubin Kazan	5:1
30.11.24	CSKA Moscow - Rubin Kazan	2:2
Russian Cup
26.11.24	CSKA Moscow - Rubin Kazan	3:0
06.11.24	Rubin Kazan - CSKA Moscow	0:0
Russian Premier League
21.09.24	Rubin Kazan - CSKA Moscow	1:1
06.05.24	CSKA Moscow - Rubin Kazan	2:2
21.10.23	Rubin Kazan - CSKA Moscow	0:0

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