Match Info

EL SALVADOR: Primera Division - Clausura - Round 9

Date: 26 February 2025, Wednesday


	Cacahuatique		CD Dragón

	1	X	2
	1.69	3.4	4.6
	1.72	3.51	4.83
	1.74	3.56	4.78	Watch
	1.64	3.38	5.23
	1.69	3.4	4.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.7 ↑ (1.51)	3.45 ↓ (3.6)	4.81 ↓ (6.25)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cacahuatique
54.2%

Draw
26.7%

CD Dragón
19.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.2%

25.3%

14.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.8%

24.6%

14.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cacahuatique has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Cacahuatique's form might have worsened.

CD Dragón has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cacahuatique than the current prediction. (+7.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Cacahuatique, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for CD Dragón than the current prediction. (-5%)

Cacahuatique - CD Dragón Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
15', 0 - 1, Ramirez G. (Pen),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
57', 0 - 2, González R. ⚽,
83', 🟥,

Preview

Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Division (Clausura ~ Play Offs: ) and 10).

Recent matches Cacahuatique is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Dragón is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Dragón could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Cacahuatique is absolute favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Cacahuatique won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2:0 (average 1:0).

Including matches at home between the teams Cacahuatique won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1:0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Cacahuatique
El Salvador Primera Division
23.02.25	Cacahuatique - Platense Municipal Zacatecoluca	1:1 ✺
13.02.25	Municipal Limeño - Cacahuatique	1:2 ✺
08.02.25	Cacahuatique - Once Deportivo Ahuachapan	2:2 ✺
01.02.25	Isidro Metapán - Cacahuatique	0:0 ✺
29.01.25	Cacahuatique - Fuerte San Francisco	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 TWTTT
- CD Dragón
El Salvador Primera Division
22.02.25	Municipal Limeño - CD Dragón	2:0 ✺
16.02.25	CD Dragón - Once Deportivo Ahuachapan	4:0 ✺
12.02.25	Isidro Metapán - CD Dragón	2:1 ✺
09.02.25	CD Dragón - Fuerte San Francisco	0:1 ✺
01.02.25	Alianza San Miguel - CD Dragón	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.8 LWLLL

Latest Head to Head

El Salvador Primera Division
20.10.24	Cacahuatique - CD Dragón	1:0
18.08.24	CD Dragón - Cacahuatique	0:1

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