The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Municipal Limeño 49.8%
Draw 28%
Cacahuatique 22.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
43.9%
29.2%
27%
Our Initial ML Estimation
49.3%
26%
24%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Municipal Limeño has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Municipal Limeño's performance.
Cacahuatique has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Municipal Limeño than the current prediction. (-0.5%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cacahuatique than the current prediction. (+1.8%)
Municipal Limeño - Cacahuatique Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
23', 0 - 1, Ulloa P. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 2)
56', 0 - 2, Gonzalez B. ⚽,
73', 0 - 3, Espinoza F. (Own goal),
83', 1 - 3, Correa J. ⚽,
90+4', 2 - 3, Correa J. ⚽,
Preview
Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Division (Clausura ~ Play Offs: ) and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Division (Clausura ~ Play Offs: )).
Municipal Limeño is Qualified for Primera Division (Clausura ~ Play Offs )
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Municipal Limeño won 3.
Municipal Limeño is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Cacahuatique has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
In this match, Municipal Limeño is considered a favorite.
In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Municipal Limeño won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 15:10. (average 1.7:1.1).
Including home matches between the teams, Municipal Limeño won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 6:6. (average 1.5:1.5).