Match Info

SPAIN: Segunda RFEF - Group 5 - Round 30

Date: 7 April 2024, Sunday


	Cacereño		Montijo

	1	X	2
	1.29	4.5	9
	1.24	5	10
	1.22	5.5	13	Watch
	1.23	5.64	12.94
	1.23	5.64	12.94
	1.24	5.35	11.7
	1.23	5	11
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.24 ↓ (1.5)	5.23 ↑ (3.9)	11.51 ↑ (5.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cacereño
74.4%

Draw
17.6%

Montijo
8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.8%

23.4%

15.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64.1%

22.2%

14.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cacereño has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Cacereño's performance.

Montijo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Montijo might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cacereño than the current prediction. (-10.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Cacereño that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Montijo than the current prediction. (+6.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Montijo could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Cacereño - Montijo Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
20', 1 - 0, Barba J. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
74', 2 - 0, Clausi A. ⚽,
90+6', 2 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 12 and 18 in the zone Relegation).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Cacereño won 3.

Recent matches Cacereño is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Montijo is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Montijo could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Cacereño is absolute favorite.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Cacereño won 4 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 7-2.

Including matches at home between the teams Cacereño won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CP Cacereño
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
31.03.24	Gimnástica Segoviana - Cacereño	5:0 ✺
23.03.24	Cacereño - Badajoz	1:1 ✺
17.03.24	Cacereño - Talavera de la Reina	4:0 ✺
10.03.24	Ursaria - Cacereño	1:0 ✺
03.03.24	Cacereño - UD San Fernando	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 LTWLW
- UD Montijo
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
31.03.24	Montijo - Talavera de la Reina	1:1 ✺
24.03.24	Ursaria - Montijo	4:1 ✺
17.03.24	Montijo - UD San Fernando	1:2 ✺
09.03.24	CD Guadalajara - Montijo	2:1 ✺
03.03.24	Montijo - Unión Adarve	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.1 TLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
26.11.23	Montijo - Cacereño	0:1
07.05.23	Cacereño - Montijo	2:0
08.01.23	Montijo - Cacereño	1:0
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
10.04.22	Montijo - Cacereño	1:1
21.11.21	Cacereño - Montijo	2:0
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 14
17.05.21	Montijo - Cacereño	0:0
11.04.21	Cacereño - Montijo	1:0

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