Match Info

SPAIN: SEGUNDA RFEF - GROUP 5 - ROUND 28

Date: 24 March 2024, Sunday


	Ursaria		Montijo

	1	X	2
	1.6	3.5	5.5
	1.55	3.5	5.25
	1.62	3.6	5.5
	1.59	3.56	5.91
	1.59	3.56	5.91
	1.59	3.68	5.61
	1.57	3.55	5.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.59 ↓ (1.7)	3.56 ↑ (3.37)	5.61 ↑ (5.01)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ursaria
57.9%

Draw
25.8%

Montijo
16.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.2%

27.4%

18.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.4%

26.8%

18%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ursaria has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)

Montijo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ursaria than the current prediction. (-2.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Montijo than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

Ursaria - Montijo Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
26', 1 - 0, Villalon P. ⚽,
39', 1 - 1, Runy ⚽,
2nd Half (3 - 0)
60', 2 - 1, Perez F. ⚽,
65', 3 - 1, Perez F. ⚽,
90+3', 4 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

This time only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 14 in the zone Relegation and 18 in the zone Relegation).

Recent matches Ursaria is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Montijo is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Montijo could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Ursaria is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Ursaria won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CDE Ursaria
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
17.03.24	Gimnástica Segoviana - Ursaria	2:0 ✺
10.03.24	Ursaria - Cacereño	1:0 ✺
03.03.24	Talavera de la Reina - Ursaria	3:0 ✺
25.02.24	Ursaria - Badajoz	1:0 ✺
18.02.24	Ursaria - UD San Fernando	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 LWLWT
- UD Montijo
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
17.03.24	Montijo - UD San Fernando	1:2 ✺
09.03.24	CD Guadalajara - Montijo	2:1 ✺
03.03.24	Montijo - Unión Adarve	2:1 ✺
24.02.24	San Sebastian Reyes - Montijo	4:0 ✺
18.02.24	Montijo - Mensajero	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 LLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
12.11.23	Montijo - Ursaria	0:2

Ursaria - Montijo: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide