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Current Win Probability
Cacereño 35.1%
Draw 32.4%
Pontevedra 32.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
33.9%
31.2%
34.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
34.3%
31.6%
34.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Cacereño has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)
Pontevedra has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cacereño than the current prediction. (-0.8%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pontevedra than the current prediction. (+2%)
Cacereño - Pontevedra Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Nieves D. (G) 22. Hernandez E. 21. Alonso J. 2. Martinez Munoz I. 5. de Diego J. 15. Monerris A. 6. Conesa N. 10. Hyjek J. 7. Fernandez I. 9. Gomez D. 20. Palacin P.
13. Marqueta R. (G) 23. Montoro A. 4. Bosch M. 5. Perez A. 11. Cuesta M. 8. Abelenda B. 16. Vidorreta A. 21. Gomez D. 10. Pino Y. 20. Gil A. 22. Comparada Gonzalez A.
Substitutes
4. Crespo A. 19. Gomez C. 16. Gutierrez D. 12. Kaptoum W. 29. Munoz Luis P. (G) 13. Quevedo A. (G) 11. Sanchidrian R. 18. Sanchis R. 24. Valdera R. 25. Vazquez K.
2. Eimil V. 3. Exposito A. 19. Garay B. 18. Lopez R. 17. Macias L. 33. Outeirino I. 14. Resende J. 1. Sousa E. (G)
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
21', de Diego J. 🟨,
31', Comparada Gonzalez A. 🟨,
42', Hyjek J. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
54', Cuesta M. 🟨,
63', Gil A. ↓, Eimil V. ↑,
63', Comparada Gonzalez A. ↓, Resende J. ↑,
66', Gomez D. ↓, Vazquez K. ↑,
71', 1 - 0, Perez A. (Own goal),
74', Perez A. ↓, Lopez R. ↑,
75', Abelenda B. 🟨,
84', Abelenda B. ↓, Macias L. ↑,
89', Conesa N. ↓, Crespo A. ↑,
89', Fernandez I. ↓, Kaptoum W. ↑,
90+4', 🟨,
90+4', Cuesta M. 🟨,
Preview
An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera RFEF ~ Group 1).
Now, both teams are in good form.
In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Cacereño won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1. (average 0.7:0.3).
Including home match between the teams, Cacereño won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
4
Cacereno
6
3
2
1
6:3
3
11
11
Pontevedra
6
2
2
2
8:8
0
8
Last Results with these Odds
Cacereño - the odds 2.67 are the expected chance of winning is 33.93%, but this team recently wins 56% of matches with these odds.