The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Talavera de la Reina 37.6%
Draw 32%
Pontevedra 30.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
38.2%
32.5%
29.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
39.1%
33.3%
28.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Talavera de la Reina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)
Pontevedra has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Talavera de la Reina than the current prediction. (+1.5%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pontevedra than the current prediction. (-1.8%)
Talavera de la Reina - Pontevedra Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Gonzalez J. (G) 4. Lopez A. 5. Molina S. 2. Cuenca D. 3. Roig A. 20. Ferni 15. Acosta L. 16. Navarro I. 21. Montero Sergio 11. Gallardo Rodriguez E. 7. Di Renzo G.
13. Marqueta R. (G) 20. Gil A. 24. Rodriguez T. 4. Bosch M. 23. Montoro A. 10. Pino Y. 16. Vidorreta A. 8. Abelenda B. 17. Macias L. 11. Cuesta M. 22. Comparada Gonzalez A.
Substitutes
13. Belman (G) 18. Capo P. 23. Farrando M. 19. Gomez V. 14. Molina A. 9. Moreno M. 17. Ouacharaf B. 6. Pitu 8. Sanchez L.
2. Eimil V. 3. Exposito A. 19. Garay B. 21. Gomez D. 5. Perez A. 14. Resende J. 1. Sousa E. (G)
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 2)
11', Molina S. 🟨,
23', 0 - 1, Comparada Gonzalez A. ⚽,
44', Acosta L. 🟨,
45+2', 0 - 2, Gil A. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
50', Ferni ↓, Moreno M. ↑,
50', Molina S. ↓, Molina A. ↑,
51', 0 - 3, Cuesta M. ⚽,
58', 🟨,
60', Vidorreta A. 🟨,
60', Gil A. ↓, Eimil V. ↑,
60', Macias L. ↓, Resende J. ↑,
70', 🟨,
72', Vidorreta A. ↓, Perez A. ↑,
72', Abelenda B. ↓, Gomez D. ↑,
74', 0 - 4, Pino Y. ⚽,
74', Cuesta M. ↓, Exposito A. ↑,
80', 🟨,
90+1', Exposito A. 🟨,
Preview
Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera RFEF ~ Group 1).
Talavera has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Pontevedra is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
Pontevedra may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Talavera won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 7:12. (average 1.4:2.4).
Including home matches between the teams, Talavera won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:3. (average 3:1.5).
Spain
Watch
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Gonzalez J. (G) 
Di Renzo G. 
Macias L. 
Ouacharaf B. 
Resende J. 
