Match Info

Primera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 22

Date: 1 February 2026, Sunday

Location: Estadio Principe Felipe (Cáceres)

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	Footballclub, LaLiga+


	Cacereño		Barakaldo

	1	X	2
	2.9	2.9	2.3
	2.92	2.98	2.42
	3.05	2.95	2.42
	3.04	3.01	2.45	Watch
	2.9	2.7	2.38
	2.97	2.9	2.4
	3	2.83	2.36
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.97 ↑ (2.84)	2.9 ↓ (3)	2.39 ↓ (2.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cacereño
30.6%

Draw
31.4%

Barakaldo
38%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.7%

30.9%

36.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.1%

31.2%

36%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cacereño has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

Barakaldo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cacereño than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Barakaldo than the current prediction. (-2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	50%	50%

Cacereño - Barakaldo Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Nieves D. (G) 22. Hernandez E. 2. Martinez Munoz I. 3. Barrio J. 5. de Diego J. 17. Berlanga M. 24. Valdera R. 10. Hyjek J. 6. Conesa N. 25. Vazquez K. 9. Gomez D.	13. Campos G. (G) 18. Arana M. 3. Garcia B. 4. Dufur U. 16. Lopez O. 20. Mandiang S. 8. Huidobro J. 6. Naveira U. 17. de Leon J. 10. Sabin 19. Galarza A.
Substitutes
21. Alonso J. 4. Crespo A. 8. Deco 7. Fernandez I. 19. Gomez C. 16. Gutierrez D. 15. Monerris A. 13. Quevedo A. (G) 11. Sanchidrian R. 18. Sanchis R.	23. Albizua U. 2. de Jesus B. 25. Fernandez I. 26. Huete H. 5. Molina E. 14. Munoz I. 21. San Bartolome V. 22. Torra M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)
63', Vazquez K. 🟨,
64', Vazquez K. ↓, Gomez C. ↑,
67', de Leon J. ↓, Albizua U. ↑,
67', Mandiang S. ↓, Munoz I. ↑,
68', Gomez D. ↓, Monerris A. ↑,
69', Valdera R. ↓, Deco ↑,
70', Naveira U. 🟨,
72', Naveira U. ↓, San Bartolome V. ↑,
72', Sabin ↓, Molina E. ↑,
74', 🟨,
78', Deco ↓, Fernandez I. ↑,
78', Hyjek J. ↓, Gutierrez D. ↑,
85', Garcia B. ↓, Torra M. ↑,
90+9', Alonso J. 🟨,
90+10', 🟨,

Preview

A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 11).

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Cacereño won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Cacereno	6	3	2	1	6:3	3	11
16	Barakaldo	6	1	3	2	6:9	-3	6

Last Results with these Odds

Barakaldo - the odds 2.55 are the expected chance of winning is 36.39%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CP Cacereño
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
25.01.26	Ourense CF - Cacereño	0:1 ✺
18.01.26	Cacereño - Arenas Club de Getxo	2:0 ✺
10.01.26	CD Guadalajara - Cacereño	1:1 ✺
04.01.26	Cacereño - Celta de Vigo B	2:3 ✺
20.12.25	Unionistas de Salamanca - Cacereño	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.3 WWTLT
- Barakaldo CF
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
25.01.26	Athletic Bilbao B - Barakaldo	2:0 ✺
18.01.26	Barakaldo - CD Guadalajara	2:1 ✺
11.01.26	Celta de Vigo B - Barakaldo	1:2 ✺
03.01.26	Barakaldo - Unionistas de Salamanca	5:0 ✺
21.12.25	Barakaldo - Pontevedra	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.9 LWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
27.09.25	Barakaldo - Cacereño	1:1

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