Match Info

Primera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 18

Date: 3 January 2026, Saturday

Location: Campo de Lasesarre (Barakaldo)

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	Footballclub, LaLiga+


	Barakaldo		Unionistas de Salamanca

	1	X	2
	2.1	2.9	3.4
	2.22	2.98	3.25
	2.17	3.08	3.51	Watch
	2.1	2.8	3.5
	2.19	3.03	3.54
	2.12	2.83	3.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.15 ↑ (2.07)	2.94 ↓ (3.15)	3.45 ↓ (3.63)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Barakaldo
42.5%

Draw
31.1%

Unionistas de Salamanca
26.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.9%

29.5%

25.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.9%

29.5%

25.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Barakaldo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

Unionistas de Salamanca has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Barakaldo than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Unionistas de Salamanca than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

Barakaldo - Unionistas de Salamanca Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Barakaldo (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Barakaldo (1.64) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Barakaldo (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Campos G. (G) 2. de Jesus B. 18. Arana M. 4. Dufur U. 16. Lopez O. 20. Mandiang S. 15. Jimenez I. 8. Huidobro J. (C) 17. de Leon J. 19. Galarza A. 21. San Bartolome V.	1. Marino U. (G) 2. Olmedo V. 3. Gorjon A. 5. Farru 20. Encuentra J. 8. Lopez J. 10. de la Nava C. (C) 6. Juanje 23. Pinan A. 24. Abde 15. Valles G.
Substitutes
23. Albizua U. 3. Garcia B. 1. Ispizua I. (G) 5. Molina E. 14. Munoz I. 7. Pedernales I. 24. Ropero I. 22. Torra M. 9. Valino A. 12. Vicario J.	9. Alex Pachon 29. Hiobi H. 22. Lendinez J. 21. Marco P. 4. Mayor R. 19. Prada R. 14. Roldan L. 13. Suarez Coronas Lastra M. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (4 - 0)
1', 1 - 0, Mandiang S. ⚽,
22', 2 - 0, San Bartolome V. ⚽,
35', 3 - 0, Jimenez I. ⚽,
36', Pinan A. ↓, Lendinez J. ↑,
38', 4 - 0, Jimenez I. ⚽,
45+4', de Leon J. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', de Leon J. ↓, Munoz I. ↑,
46', de Jesus B. ↓, Pedernales I. ↑,
46', de la Nava C. ↓, Roldan L. ↑,
60', 5 - 0, Galarza A. ⚽,
62', Lendinez J. 🟨,
64', Abde ↓, Prada R. ↑,
64', Valles G. ↓, Marco P. ↑,
66', San Bartolome V. ↓, Torra M. ↑,
70', Jimenez I. 🟨,
73', Jimenez I. ↓, Molina E. ↑,
78', Encuentra J. ↓, Mayor R. ↑,
79', Galarza A. ↓, Valino A. ↑,
90', Dufur U. 🟨,

Preview

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 13 and 12).

Recent form of Barakaldo has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Unionistas has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Barakaldo won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:4. (average 1.3:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Barakaldo won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:2. (average 2.5:1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
15	Unionistas	6	2	0	4	9:12	-3	6
16	Barakaldo	6	1	3	2	6:9	-3	6

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Barakaldo CF
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
21.12.25	Barakaldo - Pontevedra	0:1 ✺
13.12.25	Ourense CF - Barakaldo	2:2 ✺
07.12.25	Barakaldo - Real Avilés	1:2 ✺
29.11.25	Real Madrid Castilla - Barakaldo	2:1 ✺
23.11.25	Barakaldo - Ferrol	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 LTLLW
- Unionistas de Salamanca
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
20.12.25	Unionistas de Salamanca - Cacereño	2:2 ✺
14.12.25	Ferrol - Unionistas de Salamanca	2:1 ✺
08.12.25	Unionistas de Salamanca - Ponferradina	2:2 ✺
29.11.25	Ourense CF - Unionistas de Salamanca	4:3 ✺
21.11.25	Unionistas de Salamanca - Real Madrid Castilla	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 TLTLW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
23.02.25	Barakaldo - Unionistas de Salamanca	3:1
30.11.24	Unionistas de Salamanca - Barakaldo	1:0
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
15.01.20	Unionistas de Salamanca - Barakaldo	1:0
24.08.19	Barakaldo - Unionistas de Salamanca	2:1

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