Match Info

FRANCE: LIGUE 2 - ROUND 29

Date: 16 March 2024, Saturday

Location: Stade de l'Abbé-Deschamps (Auxerre)

Referee: Landry R. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	beIN Sports
France	beIN Sports
Serbia	Arena Sport


	Auxerre		Caen

	1	X	2
	1.73	3.6	4.75	Watch
	1.75	3.5	4.5
	1.66	3.75	5	Watch
	1.78	3.74	4.97
	1.74	3.78	5.1
	1.73	3.6	4.5
	1.78	3.72	4.53	Watch
	1.76	3.55	4.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.74 ↑ (1.67)	3.66 ↓ (3.85)	4.73 ↓ (4.99)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Auxerre
54.2%

Draw
25.8%

Caen
20%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.6%

24.5%

18.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.6%

23.3%

17.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Auxerre has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

Caen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Auxerre than the current prediction. (+5.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Auxerre, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Caen than the current prediction. (-2.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
85.7%	14.3%	0%

Auxerre - Caen Predictions

Users Predictions: Auxerre will win (12 of 14 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 67.38% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
16. Leon D. (G) 26. Joly P. 4. Jubal (C) 5. Pellenard T. 13. Akpa C. 42. Owusu E. 97. Raveloson R. 10. Perrin G. 7. Hein G. 17. Sinayoko L. 19. Aye F.	1. Mandrea A. (G) 4. Henry V. 61. Traore B. 29. Thomas R. (C) 2. Abdi A. 20. Lebreton N. 97. Diedounne D. 17. Kyeremeh G. 21. Brahimi B. 23. Autret M. 19. Mendy A.
Substitutes
6. Agouzoul S. 8. Buayi-Kiala N. 35. Danois K. 40. De Percin T. (G) 18. Diousse A. 45. Onaiwu A. 75. Soumare I.	5. Ben Youssef S. 16. Clementia Y. (G) 92. Coeff A. 6. Daubin Q. 22. Hafid M. 11. Le Bihan M. 15. Salama A.
Coaches
Pelissier C.	Seube N.

Preview

The most interesting match of the day. Two teams from the very top of the board will meet (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Ligue 1 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Auxerre won 0.

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

In this match Auxerre is a favorite.

Last 11 head-to-head matches Auxerre won 2 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 14-13.

Including matches at home between the teams Auxerre won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 8-8.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AJ Auxerre
French Ligue 2
09.03.24	Saint-Étienne - Auxerre	1:0 ✺
02.03.24	Auxerre - Valenciennes	0:0 ✺
24.02.24	Auxerre - Bastia	1:1 ✺
17.02.24	Annecy - Auxerre	0:2 ✺
10.02.24	Auxerre - Angers	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 LTTWW
- SM Caen
French Ligue 2
09.03.24	Caen - Paris FC	0:1 ✺
02.03.24	Pau - Caen	2:3 ✺
26.02.24	Caen - Angers	2:0 ✺
17.02.24	Guingamp - Caen	1:0 ✺
10.02.24	Caen - Amiens	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.9 LWWLW

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 2
21.10.23	Caen - Auxerre	1:1
23.04.22	Caen - Auxerre	1:1
04.12.21	Auxerre - Caen	2:2
01.05.21	Caen - Auxerre	0:0
05.01.21	Auxerre - Caen	1:1
08.11.19	Auxerre - Caen	1:1
19.04.14	Caen - Auxerre	1:0

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