Match Info

WALES: Cymru South - Round 25

Date: 28 February 2025, Friday


	Caerau Ely		Taffs Well AFC

	1	X	2
	1.43	4.7	5.4
	1.39	4.38	4.87
	1.48	4.79	5.56	Watch
	1.4	4.7	5.83
	1.43	4.7	5.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.43 ↓ (1.72)	4.65 ↑ (3.8)	5.41 ↑ (3.83)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Caerau Ely
63.7%

Draw
19.5%

Taffs Well AFC
16.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.6%

23.8%

23.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.7%

23.3%

23.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Caerau Ely has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Caerau Ely's performance.

Taffs Well AFC has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Taffs Well AFC might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Caerau Ely than the current prediction. (-10%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Caerau Ely that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Taffs Well AFC than the current prediction. (+6.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Taffs Well AFC could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Caerau Ely - Taffs Well AFC Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
36', 1 - 0, Sunley P. ⚽,
41', 2 - 0, Sheppard G. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
57', 2 - 1, ⚽,
75', 3 - 1, Ashford J. ⚽,

Preview

Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 11 and 16 in the zone Relegation).

In the last matches we may see a scene of defeats of two teams.

In this match Caerau is a favorite.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Caerau won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 9:1 (average 2.3:0.3).

Including matches at home between the teams Caerau won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1:0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Caerau Ely
Welsh Cymru South
21.02.25	Trethomas Bluebirds - Caerau Ely	1:0 ✺
Welsh FA Cup
16.02.25	Caerau Ely - Gap Connahs Quay	0:2 ✺
Welsh Cymru South
07.02.25	Caerau Ely - Llantwit Major	2:4 ✺
04.02.25	Caerau Ely - Pontypridd United	0:1 ✺
25.01.25	Carmarthen Town - Caerau Ely	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Taffs Well AFC
Welsh Cymru South
21.02.25	Taffs Well AFC - Carmarthen Town	3:7 ✺
15.02.25	Cwmbran Celtic - Taffs Well AFC	2:2 ✺
07.02.25	Goytre United - Taffs Well AFC	2:0 ✺
24.01.25	Taffs Well AFC - Cambrian United	2:4 ✺
17.01.25	Taffs Well AFC - Trethomas Bluebirds	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 LTLLL

Latest Head to Head

Welsh Cymru South
09.08.24	Taffs Well AFC - Caerau Ely	0:3
22.03.24	Taffs Well AFC - Caerau Ely	1:2
27.02.24	Caerau Ely - Taffs Well AFC	1:0
10.01.20	Taffs Well AFC - Caerau Ely	0:3

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