Match Info

ITALY: SERIE B - ROUND 19

Date: 26 December 2022, Monday

Location: Unipol Domus (Cagliari)

Referee: Paterna D. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	Sky Sport


	Cagliari		Nuova Cosenza

	1	X	2
	1.45	4.2	7	Watch
	1.5	4.1	6.25
	1.46	4.15	6.75
	1.49	4	6.4
	1.51	4.29	7.42
	1.47	4	7.5
	1.48	4.3	6.55	Watch
	1.48	4.2	6.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.48 ↓ (1.51)	4.16 ↑ (3.78)	6.78 ↑ (6.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cagliari
63.5%

Draw
22.6%

Nuova Cosenza
13.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.8%

24.2%

15%

Our Initial ML Estimation

65.1%

25.9%

14%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cagliari has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

Nuova Cosenza has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cagliari than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nuova Cosenza than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	12.5%	20.8%

Cagliari - Nuova Cosenza Predictions

Users Predictions: 24 users predict this event. Cagliari will win (votes: 16 - 66.7%). Cosenza will win (votes: 5 - 20.8%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 12.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Cagliari: 47.8% – 85.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Cagliari has the most likely position - 9 (7.77%), has project points - 52, has currently - 22, has a small chance of relegated (8%), has a chance of prom. playoffs (40%), has a small chance of promoted (11%), has a very small chance of win league (1%).

Cosenza has the most likely position - 20 (41.07%), has project points - 36, has currently - 17, has a good chance of relegated (80%), has a very small chance of prom. playoffs (<1%), has a very small chance of promoted (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

This event has small quality 26, importance 31, small match rating 28. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Recent matches Cagliari is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Cosenza is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

In this match Cagliari is absolute favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cagliari Calcio
Italian Serie B
18.12.22	Palermo - Cagliari	2:1 ✺
11.12.22	Cagliari - Perugia	3:2 ✺
07.12.22	Ternana - Cagliari	1:0 ✺
03.12.22	Cagliari - Parma	1:1 ✺
27.11.22	Frosinone - Cagliari	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 LWLTT
- Nuova Cosenza
Italian Serie B
18.12.22	Nuova Cosenza - Ascoli	1:3 ✺
11.12.22	Venezia - Nuova Cosenza	2:0 ✺
08.12.22	Nuova Cosenza - Brescia	1:1 ✺
04.12.22	Nuova Cosenza - Perugia	0:0 ✺
27.11.22	Cittadella - Nuova Cosenza	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 LLTTT

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