Match Info

Serie A - Round 3

Date: 13 September 2025, Saturday

Location: Unipol Domus (Cagliari)

Referee: Fourneau F. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	New World Sport 2, SuperSport Football, ZAP
Albania	Tring Sport 1
Angola	Z Sports 1
Argentina	Disney+
Armenia	Fast Sports
Asia	STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic
Australia	Amazon Prime Video, beIN Connect
Austria	DAZN 2, DAZN, Sky Go Austria
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Premium 2, Arena Sport 2
Brazil	Disney+
Bulgaria	Max Sport 3
Canada	Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Canada
China	Migu, ZhiBo8
Croatia	Arena Sport 4, MAXtv To Go
Czech-republic	Sport 1
Denmark	TV2 Play
Europe	Go3 Sport 1 Baltic
Finland	MTV Katsomo, MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 2
France	DAZN France
Germany	Amazon Prime Video, DAZN 2 Bar Deutsch, DAZN 2, DAZN Deutsch, Sky Go Germany, WOW
Greece	COSMOTE Sport 3
Hong-kong	beIN SPORTS MAX, M Plus Live
Indonesia	Vidio
Italy	214 DAZN Zona, DAZN Italia, SKY Go Italia
Japan	DAZN Japan
Kosovo	ART Sport 1
Macao	Macau Cable TV 34 Football
Malaysia	Astro Arena 2, Astro Go, Sooka
Malta	GO TV, TSN Malta 3
Mexico	Disney+
New-zealand	beIN Connect
North-central-america	Disney+ Caribbean, ESPN Caribbean
Norway	VG+
Peru	Disney+
Portugal	Sport TV6
Romania	Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 5
Russia	MATCH! Futbol 1, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
Saudi-arabia	STC TV
Serbia	Arena Premium 5
Slovakia	Sport 1
Slovenia	Arena Sport 3
South-korea	SPOTV Now, SPOTV Prime 2
Spain	DAZN Espana
Sweden	TV4 Fotboll, TV4 Play
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland
Thailand	True ID, True Premier Football 3
Turkey	S Sport 2, S Sport+, Tivibu Spor 1
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 1
United-kingdom	DAZN, DAZN UK
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	DAZN USA, Fox Deportes, Fox Deportes, Fox Sports App, Foxsports.com, Paramount+
Venezuela	Disney+


	Cagliari		Parma

	1	X	2
	2.25	3	3.6	Watch
	2.25	3.1	3.4
	2.38	2.98	3.45	Watch
	2.23	3.15	3.75
	2.74	2.89	2.84	Watch
	2.2	3.1	3.3
	2.41	3.19	3.48
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.35 ↑ (2.25)	3.06 ↓ (3.3)	3.4 ↓ (3.66)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 1.6%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Cagliari
40.7%

Draw
31.3%

Parma
28.1%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

43.5%

29.7%

26.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43%

30%

27.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cagliari has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

Parma has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cagliari than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Parma than the current prediction. (-1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
38.5%	50%	11.5%

Cagliari - Parma Predictions

Users Predictions: 26 users predict this event. Cagliari will win (votes: 10 - 38.5%). Parma will win (votes: 3 - 11.5%). It will Tie (votes: 13 - 50%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 30.8% – 69.2%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 8 Selected Experts predict this event. Parma (votes: 2 - 25%). Tie (votes: 6 - 75%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +0.25, 1st Half - Cagliari (1.54) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 9 Selected Experts predict this event. Cagliari (votes: 1 - 11.1%). Parma (votes: 2 - 22.2%). Tie (votes: 6 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Caprile E. (G) 28. Zappa G. (C) 26. Mina Y. 6. Luperto S. 33. Obert A. 8. Adopo M. 16. Prati M. 90. Folorunsho M. 10. Gaetano G. 19. Belotti A. 94. Esposito Se.	31. Suzuki Z. (G) 15. Del Prato E. (C) 39. Circati A. 3. Ndiaye A. 18. Lovik M. 10. Bernabe A. 22. Sorensen O. 14. Valeri E. 24. Ordonez C. 9. Pellegrino M. 32. Cutrone P.
Substitutes
29. Borrelli G. 21. Cavuoti N. 24. Ciocci G. (G) 14. Deiola A. 18. Di Pardo A. 17. Felici M. 3. Idrissi R. 9. Kilicsoy S. 27. Liteta J. 4. Mazzitelli L. 2. Palestra M. 32. Pedro J. 23. Pintus N. 20. Rog M. 34. Sarno V. (G)	11. Almqvist P. 19. Begic T. 7. Benedyczak A. 27. Britschgi S. 40. Corvi E. (G) 25. Cremaschi B. 30. Djuric M. 8. Estevez N. 16. Keita M. 21. Oristanio G. 65. Plicco E. 66. Rinaldi F. (G) 63. Trabucchi N. 37. Troilo M.
Coaches
Pisacane F.	Cuesta C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
23', Zappa G. 🟨,
30', Ordonez C. 🟨,
33', 1 - 0, Mina Y. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Ordonez C. ↓, Oristanio G. ↑,
54', Gaetano G. ↓, Deiola A. ↑,
55', Zappa G. ↓, Palestra M. ↑,
58', Esposito Se. 🟨,
62', Deiola A. 🟨,
62', Lovik M. ↓, Almqvist P. ↑,
74', Belotti A. ↓, Borrelli G. ↑,
74', Esposito Se. ↓, Felici M. ↑,
77', 2 - 0, Felici M. ⚽,
80', Bernabe A. ↓, Estevez N. ↑,
85', Cutrone P. ↓, Djuric M. ↑,
85', Sorensen O. ↓, Keita M. ↑,
88', Folorunsho M. ↓, Pedro J. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cagliari won 3.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Cagliari will hold a modest advantage in this match.

There will not play in Cagliari: Luvumbo Z. (Thigh Injury)

There will not play in Parma: Frigan M. (Knee Injury) Ondrejka J. (Leg Injury)

There are questionable in Cagliari: Pavoletti L. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Parma: Hernani (Ankle Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Cagliari won 8 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 28:27. (average 1.4:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Cagliari won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 19:11. (average 2.1:1.2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cagliari Calcio
Italian Serie A
30.08.25	Napoli - Cagliari	1:0 ✺
24.08.25	Cagliari - Fiorentina	1:1 ✺
Coppa Italia
16.08.25	Cagliari - Virtus Entella	2:1 penalties ✺
Club Friendly
09.08.25	Racing Santander - Cagliari	1:1 ✺
09.08.25	Racing Santander - Cagliari	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 LTWTT
- FC Parma
Italian Serie A
30.08.25	Parma - Atalanta	1:1 ✺
24.08.25	Juventus - Parma	2:0 ✺
Coppa Italia
17.08.25	Parma - Pescara	2:0 ✺
Club Friendly
09.08.25	Heidenheim - Parma	2:1 ✺
01.08.25	Parma - Pro Vercelli	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 TLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie A
09.02.25	Cagliari - Parma	2:1
30.09.24	Parma - Cagliari	2:3
Italian Serie B
03.06.23	Parma - Cagliari	0:0
30.05.23	Cagliari - Parma	3:2
22.04.23	Parma - Cagliari	2:1
03.12.22	Cagliari - Parma	1:1
Italian Serie A
17.04.21	Cagliari - Parma	4:3

Upcoming Matches