Match Info

ITALY: SERIE B - ROUND 16

Date: 7 December 2022, Wednesday

Location: Stadio Libero Liberati (Terni)

Referee: Massa D. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bosnia-and-herzegovina	SportKlub
Croatia	SportKlub
Greece	Nova Sports
Italy	Sky Sport
Romania	Sport Extra
Serbia	SportKlub
Slovenia	SportKlub


	Ternana		Cagliari

	1	X	2
	2.25	3	2.9	Watch
	2.35	3.1	3.1
	2.35	3.1	3.1
	2.4	3	3.05
	2.45	3.18	3.29
	2.4	3	3.1
	2.38	3.1	3.14	Watch
	2.43	3	3.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.38 ↓ (2.4)	3.06 ↓ (3.18)	3.1 ↑ (2.87)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ternana
39.3%

Draw
30.5%

Cagliari
30.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.6%

29.1%

32.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.1%

28.7%

31.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ternana has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

Cagliari has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ternana than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cagliari than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
30.4%	69.6%	0%

Ternana - Cagliari Predictions

Users Predictions: 46 users predict this event. Ternana will win (votes: 14 - 30.4%). It will Tie (votes: 32 - 69.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 56.3% – 82.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

One of which is a team leader another one is from mid-table (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 12).

Ternana has the most likely position - 7 (7.23%), has project points - 53, has currently - 22, has a small chance of relegated (8%), has a chance of prom. playoffs (39%), has a small chance of promoted (13%), has a very small chance of win league (3%).

Cagliari has the most likely position - 4 (8.66%), has project points - 55, has currently - 19, has a very small chance of relegated (5%), has a chance of prom. playoffs (47%), has a chance of promoted (20%), has a very small chance of win league (3%).

This event has quality 37, small importance 30, match rating 33. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Ternana is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Cagliari is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Ternana won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Including matches at home between the teams Ternana won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ternana Calcio
Italian Serie B
03.12.22	Venezia - Ternana	2:1 ✺
26.11.22	Pisa - Ternana	3:1 ✺
12.11.22	Ternana - Brescia	0:0 ✺
05.11.22	Ternana - SPAL	0:0 ✺
28.10.22	Bari - Ternana	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 LLTTT
- Cagliari Calcio
Italian Serie B
03.12.22	Cagliari - Parma	1:1 ✺
27.11.22	Frosinone - Cagliari	2:2 ✺
12.11.22	Cagliari - Pisa	1:1 ✺
05.11.22	Südtirol-Alto Adige - Cagliari	2:2 ✺
29.10.22	Cagliari - Reggina	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 TTTTT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie B
23.01.16	Cagliari - Ternana	1:0
12.09.15	Ternana - Cagliari	1:1

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