Match Info

Serie A - Round 8

Date: 24 October 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Unipol Domus (Cagliari) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Bonacina K. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	DStv Now
Albania	15:00	Tring Sport 2
Argentina	10:00	Disney+
Armenia	17:00	Fast Sports
Asia	—	STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic
Australia	00:00	beIN Connect
Austria	15:00	DAZN
Bangladesh	19:00	Begin
Bosnia And Herzegovina	15:00	Arena Sport 4
Brazil	10:00	Disney+
Cambodia	20:00	MyTV
Canada	09:00	DAZN Canada, fubo Sports Network 2 DRM, fubo Sports Network 3 DRM, fubo Sports Network 4 DRM, fubo Sports Network 5 DRM, fubo Sports Network 7 DRM, fubo Sports Network 9 DRM, fubo Sports Network
Chile	10:00	Disney+
China	21:00	Migu
Colombia	08:00	Disney+
Croatia	15:00	Arena Sport 3, MAXtv To Go
Czech Republic	15:00	Oneplay, Sport 1
Denmark	15:00	DAZN, TV2 Play
Finland	16:00	MTV Katsomo+
France	15:00	DAZN France
Germany	15:00	DAZN Deutsch
Hong Kong	21:00	beIN Sports 3, M Plus Live
India	18:30	ZEE5
Indonesia	20:00	Vidio
Iraq	16:00	Almanasa
Israel	16:00	ONE Sport 2
Italy	15:00	DAZN 2, DAZN Italia
Japan	22:00	DAZN Japan
Kuwait	16:00	Shasha
Malaysia	21:00	Astro Arena Bola 2, Astro Go, Sooka
Malta	15:00	GO TV, TSN Malta 8
Mexico	07:00	Disney+
New Zealand	02:00	beIN Connect
North Central America	—	Disney+ Caribbean
North Macedonia	15:00	MaxTV GO
Norway	15:00	VG+
Peru	08:00	Disney+
Poland	15:00	Eleven Sports 4
Romania	16:00	Prima Sport PPV 2
Russia	16:00	Match TV
Saudi Arabia	16:00	STC TV, Thmanyah
Serbia	15:00	Arena Sport 3
Slovakia	15:00	Sport 1, Voyo
Slovenia	15:00	Arena Sport 4
South Africa	15:00	SuperSport Football
South Korea	22:00	SPOTV Now, SPOTV Prime+
Spain	15:00	DAZN Espana
Suriname	10:00	SCCN
Sweden	15:00	DAZN, TV4 Play
Switzerland	15:00	DAZN Switzerland
Thailand	20:00	True ID, True Premier Football 4
Tunisia	14:00	Diwan Sport
Ukraine	16:00	MEGOGO Futbol 1, MEGOGO Ukraine
United Kingdom	14:00	DAZN
Uruguay	10:00	Disney+
Usa	09:00	Paramount+, Peacock
Venezuela	09:00	Disney+


	Cagliari		Bologna

	1	X	2
	3.00	2.90	2.60
	2.90	2.95	2.65
	2.88	2.88	2.65	Watch
	3.10	3.05	2.72
	2.99	2.94	2.69	Watch
	3.05	3.00	2.60
	3.07	2.94	2.66
	3.05	3.05	2.60
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.01 ↓ (3.18)	2.96 ↓ (3.04)	2.65 ↑ (2.45)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.75

The best margin for this event is 1.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cagliari
31.8%

Draw
32.2%

Bologna
36.1%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

29.9%

31.3%

38.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.2%

31.6%

39.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cagliari has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

Bologna has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cagliari than the current prediction. (-2.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bologna than the current prediction. (+3.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
12.5%	68.7%	18.7%

Cagliari - Bologna Predictions

Users Predictions: 16 users predict this event. Cagliari will win (votes: 2 - 12.5%). Bologna will win (votes: 3 - 18.8%). It will Tie (votes: 11 - 68.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 46.1% – 91.5%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (2.22) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

EH +2 - Cagliari (1.14) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Cagliari (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Caprile E. (G) 2. Pedro J. 14. Deiola A. (C) 15. Rodriguez J. 33. Obert A. 4. Romano A. 6. Winks H. 8. Adopo M. 79. Massolin Y. 70. Maldini D. 31. Mendy P.	1. Skorupski L. (G) 36. Darmian M. 16. Casale N. 3. Theate A. 20. Zortea N. 19. Ferguson L. (C) 4. Pobega T. 33. Miranda J. 10. Bernardeschi F. 21. Odgaard J. 28. Cambiaghi N.
Substitutes
24. Aurelio G. 20. Ciervo R. 39. Fadera A. 10. Fazzini J. 21. Gagliardini R. 9. Kevin 22. Kofler R. 27. Liteta J. 26. Mina Y. 18. Nzola M. 23. Radunovic B. (G) 12. Sherri A. (G) 35. Sugamele A. 28. Sugawara Y. 32. Sulev I.	23. Alhassane R. 8. Amondarain M. 29. De Silvestri L. 9. Dovbyk A. 17. El Azzouzi O. 22. Enem J. 5. Fauske Helland E. 72. Happonen U. (G) 14. Heggem T. 18. Libra M. 11. Mbangula S. 6. Moro N. 25. Pessina M. (G) 41. Vitik M.
Coaches
Pisacane F.	Palladino R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
32', Bernardeschi F. 🟨,
39', Pedro J. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Pedro J. ↓, Sugawara Y. ↑,
46', Winks H. ↓, Gagliardini R. ↑,
55', Gagliardini R. 🟨,
57', 0 - 1, Casale N. ⚽, Miranda J. (A),
67', Maldini D. ↓, Kevin ↑,
75', Zortea N. ↓, Libra M. ↑,
76', Romano A. ↓, Fadera A. ↑,
76', Odgaard J. ↓, Amondarain M. ↑,
76', Miranda J. ↓, Alhassane R. ↑,
77', Deiola A. 🟨,
80', 0 - 2, Bernardeschi F. (Penalty Awarded),
85', Darmian M. ↓, Vitik M. ↑,
86', Massolin Y. ↓, Aurelio G. ↑,
89', Bernardeschi F. ↓, Mbangula S. ↑,

Preview

An intriguing matchup between an upper-bracket team and a mid-table rival (ranked 7th and 15th).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cagliari won 1.

Cagliari is in solid form heading into this fixture (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Performances by Bologna have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 1 win).

In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.

Confirmed absences for Cagliari: Felici M. (Knee Injury) Idrissi R. (Knee Injury).

Confirmed absences for Bologna: Holm E. (Thigh Injury) Orsolini R. (Thigh Injury) Piccoli R. (Hamstring Injury).

Doubtful / questionable for Cagliari: Trepy Y. (Injury).

In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Cagliari has recorded 5 wins, 5 draws, and 10 losses, with a goal aggregate of 18:26 (averaging 0.9:1.3 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Cagliari against this opponent, the record stands at 5 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses, with 11:9 goals (averaging 1.2:1 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
10	Cagliari	9	4	1	4	8:13	-5	13
11	Bologna	9	3	2	4	12:12	0	11

Outrights of Italian Serie A for now

Bologna: 0.24% Cagliari: 0.2%

Last Results with these Odds

Cagliari - the odds 3.18 are the expected chance of winning is 29.9%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.

Bologna - the odds 2.45 are the expected chance of winning is 38.81%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cagliari Calcio
Italian Serie A
19.10.26	Monza - Cagliari	4:0 ✺
11.10.26	Cagliari - Juventus	1:1 ✺
19.09.26	Udinese - Cagliari	0:1 ✺
12.09.26	Atalanta - Cagliari	1:2 ✺
07.09.26	Cagliari - Lecce	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 29 LTWWW
- Bologna FC
Italian Serie A
17.10.26	Bologna - Inter Milan	1:3 ✺
11.10.26	Lecce - Bologna	1:2 ✺
19.09.26	Bologna - Torino	1:1 ✺
13.09.26	Napoli - Bologna	1:0 ✺
06.09.26	Bologna - Sassuolo	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.9 LWTLT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie A
03.05.26	Bologna - Cagliari	0:0
19.10.25	Cagliari - Bologna	0:2
02.03.25	Bologna - Cagliari	2:1
29.10.24	Cagliari - Bologna	0:2
14.01.24	Cagliari - Bologna	2:1
02.09.23	Bologna - Cagliari	2:1
Coppa Italia
20.10.22	Bologna - Cagliari	1:0

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