Match Info

Serie A - Round 8

Date: 24 October 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Stadio Olimpico (Rome) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Arena A. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	DStv Now, ZAP
Albania	20:45	Tring Sport 1
Angola	19:45	Z Sports 1
Argentina	15:45	Disney+
Armenia	22:45	Fast Sports
Asia	—	STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic
Australia	05:45	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2
Austria	20:45	DAZN
Bangladesh	00:45	Begin
Belarus	21:45	Sport TV
Bolivia	14:45	ESPN 3
Bosnia And Herzegovina	20:45	Arena Premium 2, Arena Sport 2
Brazil	15:45	Disney+
Bulgaria	21:45	Max Sport 3
Cambodia	01:45	MyTV
Canada	14:45	DAZN Canada, fubo Sports Network 2 DRM, fubo Sports Network 3 DRM, fubo Sports Network 4 DRM, fubo Sports Network 5 DRM, fubo Sports Network 7 DRM, fubo Sports Network
China	02:45	Migu
Croatia	20:45	Arena Sport 1, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	21:45	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 4, Cytavision Sports 4
Czech Republic	20:45	Oneplay, Sport 1
Denmark	20:45	DAZN, TV2 Play, TV2 Sport X
Ecuador	13:45	ESPN 3
Finland	21:45	MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 1
France	20:45	DAZN France
Germany	20:45	DAZN Deutsch
Hong Kong	02:45	beIN Sports 3, M Plus Live
Hungary	20:45	Match 4
India	00:15	ZEE5
Indonesia	01:45	Vidio
Iraq	21:45	Almanasa
Italy	20:45	DAZN Italia, NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 251, Sky Sport 4K, Sky Sport Calcio
Japan	03:45	DAZN Japan
Kosovo	20:45	Arena Premium 3
Kuwait	21:45	Shasha
Macao	02:45	Macau Cable TV 34 Football
Malaysia	02:45	Astro Football, Astro Go, Sooka
Maldives	23:45	ICE Plus, Medianet
Malta	20:45	GO TV, TSN Malta 3
Mexico	12:45	Disney+, ESPN
Netherlands	20:45	Ziggo Go, Ziggo Sport 2
New Zealand	07:45	beIN Connect
North Central America	—	Disney+ Caribbean
North Macedonia	20:45	Arena Premium 3
Norway	20:45	VG+
Peru	13:45	Disney+, ESPN 3
Poland	20:45	Eleven Sports 3
Romania	21:45	Digi Online, Digi Sport 4, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 2, Prima TV
Russia	21:45	MATCH! Futbol 1, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
Saudi Arabia	21:45	STC TV, Thmanyah
Serbia	20:45	Arena Premium 3
Slovakia	20:45	Sport 1, Voyo
Slovenia	20:45	Arena Sport 3
South Africa	20:45	SuperSport Football
South Korea	03:45	SPOTV Now, SPOTV Prime 2
Spain	20:45	DAZN Espana
Suriname	15:45	SCCN
Sweden	20:45	DAZN, TV4 Fotboll, TV4 Play
Switzerland	20:45	DAZN Switzerland
Thailand	01:45	True ID, True Premier Football 3
Tunisia	19:45	Diwan Sport
Turkey	21:45	S Sport 2
Ukraine	21:45	MEGOGO Futbol 3, MEGOGO Ukraine
United Kingdom	19:45	DAZN
Uruguay	15:45	Disney+
Usa	14:45	CBS Sports Golazo, CBS Sports Network, NBC, Paramount+, Peacock, Telemundo
Venezuela	14:45	Disney+, ESPN 3


	Lazio		Parma

	1	X	2
	1.42	4.75	7.50
	1.44	4.50	7.25
	1.40	4.40	7.50	Watch
	1.43	4.59	8.50
	1.44	4.5	7.7	Watch
	1.41	4.50	8.25
	1.46	4.53	7.55
	1.42	4.80	7.80
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.43 ↓ (1.54)	4.57 ↑ (4.12)	7.76 ↑ (6.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lazio
66.8%

Draw
20.9%

Parma
12.3%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

61.8%

23.1%

15.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.6%

22%

14.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lazio has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)

Parma has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lazio than the current prediction. (-3.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Parma than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
92.2%	3.9%	3.9%

Lazio - Parma Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1.25 - Lazio (1.91) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

EH +1 - Lazio (1.11) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

New Consensus by Tipsters:

1X2 - Lazio (1.48) (votes: 97%) ⭐ Best Value.

Users Predictions: Lazio will win (47 of 51 users predict this - 92.16%).
Confidence interval (95%): 84.78% – 99.54%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Lazio will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 8 Selected Experts predict this event. Lazio (votes: 8 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
35. Mandas C. (G) 15. Floriani R. 37. Sutalo J. 25. Provstgaard O. 17. Tavares N. 16. Frattesi D. 21. Belahyane R. 24. Taylor K. 11. Isaksen G. 14. Noslin T. 10. Zaccagni M. (C)	40. Corvi E. (G) 15. Delprato E. (C) 34. Diego Carlos 37. Troilo M. 72. Drobnic D. 14. Valeri E. 16. Keita M. 4. Sierro V. 32. Ordonez C. 19. Toure E. B. 9. Romero D.
Substitutes
76. Bordon F. 22. Cancellieri M. 32. Cataldi D. 7. Dele-Bashiru F. 5. Doekhi D. 71. Farcomeni V. 29. Lazzari M. 2. Leite D. 40. Motta E. (G) 23. Pedraza A. 3. Pellegrini Lu. 28. Przyborek A. 47. Renzetti D. (G) 63. Serra F.	10. Bernabe A. 27. Britschgi S. 29. Carboni F. 8. Cremaschi B. 30. Daffara G. (G) 25. De Martis T. 7. Diallo O. 80. Fabbian G. 20. Frigan M. 22. Ghidotti S. (G) 47. Konate A. 76. Lontani S. 3. Ndiaye A.
Coaches
Gattuso G.	Gilardino A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
31', Provstgaard O. 🟨,
38', Sierro V. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
46', Sierro V. ↓, Bernabe A. ↑,
46', Provstgaard O. ↓, Leite D. ↑,
51', 1 - 0, Taylor K. ⚽,
58', 2 - 0, Diego Carlos (Own goal),
64', Ordonez C. ↓, Lontani S. ↑,
71', Taylor K. ↓, Dele-Bashiru F. ↑,
73', Diego Carlos ↓, Frigan M. ↑,
77', Isaksen G. ↓, Lazzari M. ↑,
77', Zaccagni M. ↓, Pedraza A. ↑,
79', Romero D. ↓, Fabbian G. ↑,
90+5', 2 - 1, Lontani S. ⚽, Fabbian G. (A),

Preview

One of the top-ranked clubs faces a lower-table side fighting for vital survival points (ranked 2nd in the Promotion - Champions League League phase and 19th in the Relegation - Serie B).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lazio won 2.

Lazio has enjoyed a winning run and is in top form (last 5 matches: 4 wins).

Parma is experiencing a dip in performance (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Lazio holds a commanding advantage according to the oddsmakers.

Confirmed absences for Lazio: Furlanetto A. (Knee Injury) Gudmundsson A. (Shoulder Injury) Marusic A. (Muscle Injury) Rovella N. (Calf Injury).

Confirmed absences for Parma: Almqvist P. (Calf Injury) Elphege N. (Illness) Nicolussi Caviglia H. (Thigh Injury) Valenti L. (Coach's decision).

Our forecast points to a victory for Lazio in today's match, at odds of 1.41.

In the last 19 head-to-head meetings, Lazio has recorded 13 wins, 4 draws, and 2 losses, with a goal aggregate of 34:17 (averaging 1.8:0.9 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Lazio against this opponent, the record stands at 8 wins, 2 draws, and 0 losses, with 23:9 goals (averaging 2.3:0.9 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Lazio	9	8	1	0	22:7	15	25
19	Parma	9	1	2	6	5:15	-10	5

Outrights of Italian Serie A for now

Lazio: 5.06% Parma: 0.11%

Last Results with these Odds

Lazio - the odds 1.54 are the expected chance of winning is 61.8%, but this team recently wins 75% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SS Lazio
Italian Serie A
18.10.26	Juventus - Lazio	0:3 ✺
11.10.26	Lazio - Monza	3:1 ✺
Club Friendly
03.10.26	Lazio - Juve Stabia	3:3
27.09.26	Lazio - Arezzo	2:0
Italian Serie A
19.09.26	Venezia - Lazio	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.2 WWTWW
- FC Parma
Italian Serie A
19.10.26	Parma - Torino	0:3 ✺
10.10.26	Inter Milan - Parma	3:0 ✺
20.09.26	Parma - Genoa	2:1 ✺
14.09.26	Como - Parma	2:1 ✺
06.09.26	Parma - Monza	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 LLWLT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie A
04.04.26	Lazio - Parma	1:1
13.12.25	Parma - Lazio	0:1
28.04.25	Lazio - Parma	2:2
01.12.24	Parma - Lazio	3:1
12.05.21	Lazio - Parma	1:0
Coppa Italia
21.01.21	Lazio - Parma	2:1
Italian Serie A
10.01.21	Parma - Lazio	0:2

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