Match Info

Liga 1 - Clausura - Round 4

Date: 7 August 2026, Friday

Location: Estadio Juan Maldonado Gamarra (Cutervo)

Referee: Rivera J. (Per)

Where to Watch on TV:


Peru	Liga 1 Max
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Comerciantes Unidos		Cusco

	1	X	2
	2.3	3.2	3.1	Watch
	2.45	3.10	2.55
	2.42	3.2	2.85	Watch
	2.44	3.23	2.98
	2.47	3.15	2.93	Watch
	2.3	3.1	3
	2.22	3.2	3.26	Watch
	2.32	3.1	2.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.37 ↓ (2.57)	3.16 ↑ (3.14)	2.94 ↑ (2.63)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Comerciantes Unidos
39.2%

Draw
29.3%

Cusco
31.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.8%

29.3%

35%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37%

28.3%

33.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Comerciantes Unidos has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)

Cusco has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Comerciantes Unidos than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cusco than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
14.3%	71.4%	14.3%

Comerciantes Unidos - Cusco Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Comerciantes Unidos will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). Cusco will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 71.4%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
17. Cordova M. (G) 16. F. Rojas 40. Alcedo F. 6. Rodriguez J. 15. Cossio A. 4. Arias A. 18. Rodriguez A. 11. Herrera J. 25. Vilca R. 10. Carpio Ferro M. P. 9. Sen M. (C)	28. Diaz P. (G) 21. Zevallos J. 8. Fuentes A. 6. Ampuero A. 3. Lagos R. 55. Montano C. 22. Colitto L. 14. Diez C. 10. Colman I. (C) 99. Miguel Silveira 9. Callejo F.
Substitutes
8. Ayovi W. 99. Charun J. (G) 30. Guzman P. 19. Lino D. 50. Olivares J. 20. Parodi J. 13. Perez Azambuya E. M. 28. Pinto O. 14. Salinas T.	15. Bolivar J. 2. Gamarra C. 77. Herrera Joel 7. Manzaneda J. 26. Silva N. 88. Soto D. 11. Tevez J. 16. Valenzuela O. 13. Vidal A. (G)
Coaches
Hernandez J.	Rabanal J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
26', 0 - 1, Callejo F. ⚽, Colitto L. (A),
33', Alcedo F. 🟨,
2nd Half (3 - 0)
49', Colitto L. ↓, Silva N. ↑,
61', Carpio Ferro M. P. ↓, Ayovi W. ↑,
68', Fuentes A. 🟨,
72', Miguel Silveira ↓, Herrera Joel ↑,
72', Herrera J. ↓, Salinas T. ↑,
72', Rodriguez A. ↓, Olivares J. ↑,
73', 1 - 1, Alcedo F. ⚽, Ayovi W. (A),
76', Rodriguez J. 🟨,
78', Callejo F. ↓, Tevez J. ↑,
78', Diez C. ↓, Soto D. ↑,
84', Colman I. 🟨,
86', 2 - 1, Sen M. ⚽, Vilca R. (A),
89', Rodriguez J. 🟨,
90', Vilca R. ↓, Guzman P. ↑,
90', Sen M. ↓, Perez Azambuya E. M. ↑,
90+5', Silva N. ↓, Gamarra C. ↑,
90+8', 3 - 1, Cossio A. ⚽, Olivares J. (A),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Comerciantes Unidos won 0.

Recent form of Comerciantes Unidos has been disappointing (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Cusco has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

There will not play in Cusco: Aucca M. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Cusco: Custodio A. (Injury) Ruidias M. (Injury)

In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Comerciantes Unidos won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 18:24. (average 1.2:1.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Comerciantes Unidos won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 9:11. (average 1.3:1.6).

Standings

Clausura

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
9	Cusco	10	6	0	4	19:14	5	18
14	Comerciantes Unidos	11	2	4	5	18:19	-1	10

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Comerciantes Unidos
Peruvian Liga 1
31.07.26	Los Chankas - Comerciantes Unidos	3:2 ✺
26.07.26	Comerciantes Unidos - Alianza Lima	2:2 ✺
18.07.26	Moquegua - Comerciantes Unidos	2:2 ✺
Peruvian Copa de la Liga
27.06.26	Comerciantes Unidos - Juan Pablo II College	0:0 ✺
11.06.26	ADA Jaén - Comerciantes Unidos	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 LTTTL
- Cusco FC
Peruvian Liga 1
01.08.26	Cusco - Cajamarca	4:1 ✺
24.07.26	Universitario de Deportes - Cusco	2:1 ✺
18.07.26	Cusco - Alianza Atlético	4:1 ✺
Peruvian Copa de la Liga
28.06.26	Cusco - Cienciano	1:2 ✺
22.06.26	Escuela Municipal Binacional - Cusco	4:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3 WLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Peruvian Liga 1
22.02.26	Cusco - Comerciantes Unidos	3:1
12.10.25	Cusco - Comerciantes Unidos	1:1
24.05.25	Comerciantes Unidos - Cusco	1:2
14.09.24	Cusco - Comerciantes Unidos	2:1
08.04.24	Comerciantes Unidos - Cusco	0:1
Peruvian Liga 2
25.09.22	Comerciantes Unidos - Cusco	2:1
26.06.22	Cusco - Comerciantes Unidos	3:2

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