The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
FBC Melgar 68.8%
Draw 19.8%
Comerciantes Unidos 11.4%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
72.6%
17.5%
9.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
74.3%
16.4%
9.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
FBC Melgar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)
Comerciantes Unidos has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for FBC Melgar than the current prediction. (+5.5%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for FBC Melgar, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Comerciantes Unidos than the current prediction. (-2.1%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
100%
0%
0%
FBC Melgar - Comerciantes Unidos Predictions
Users Predictions:
3 users predict this event. Melgar will win (votes: 3 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
21. Cabezudo J. (G) 33. Lazo M. 5. Deneumostier A. 3. Gonzalez L. 27. Cabanillas N. 66. Orzan H. (C) 25. Minda K. 7. Bordacahar C. 10. Quagliata N. 8. Guzman L. 11. Vidales J.
17. Cordova M. (G) 40. Alcedo F. 30. Guzman P. 6. Rodriguez J. 19. Lino D. 18. Rodriguez A. 20. Parodi J. 11. Herrera J. 25. Vilca R. 54. Gamero Y. 9. Sen M. (C)
Substitutes
20. Bernaola G. 12. Caceda C. (G) 80. D'Arrigo J. 90. Jesus Alcantar 36. Nunez P. 26. Portillo M. 40. Yabiku R. 77. Zanelatto F. 45. Zegarra M.
8. Ayovi W. 10. Carpio Ferro M. P. 99. Charun J. (G) 15. Cossio A. 32. Jhon Sanchez 50. Olivares J. 13. Perez Azambuya E. M. 28. Pinto O. 14. Salinas T.
Coaches
Rondelli M.
Biaggio C.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
4', Orzan H. 🟥,
9', 1 - 0, Vidales J. ⚽, Bordacahar C. (A),
20', Cordova M. 🟨,
28', Rondelli M. 🟨,
29', Guzman P. ↓, Jhon Sanchez ↑,
45+1', Guzman L. 🟨,
45+1', Sen M. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Lino D. ↓, Cossio A. ↑,
46', Gamero Y. ↓, Salinas T. ↑,
49', Rodriguez J. 🟨,
64', Vidales J. ↓, Zanelatto F. ↑,
66', Herrera J. ↓, Perez Azambuya E. M. ↑,
67', Rodriguez A. 🟨,
70', Rodriguez A. ↓, Olivares J. ↑,
70', Guzman L. ↓, Zegarra M. ↑,
77', Quagliata N. ↓, Portillo M. ↑,
86', 1 - 1, Parodi J. ⚽, Sen M. (A),
90+1', Alcedo F. 🟨,
Preview
This match features a clash between a top-table contender and a mid-table team (ranked 5th and 13th).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Melgar won 1.
Melgar has displayed good consistency in recent games (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
Comerciantes Unidos is experiencing a dip in performance (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Melgar holds a commanding advantage according to the oddsmakers.
Confirmed absences for Melgar: Escobar J.
(Yellow Cards).
In the last 11 head-to-head meetings, Melgar has recorded 3 wins, 7 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 15:12 (averaging 1.4:1.1 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Melgar against this opponent, the record stands at 3 wins, 2 draws, and 0 losses, with 10:5 goals (averaging 2:1 per game).
Standings
Clausura
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
4
FBC Melgar
14
7
5
2
25:15
10
26
13
Comerciantes Unidos
14
3
5
6
24:25
-1
14
Outrights of Peruvian Liga 1 for now
FBC Melgar: 11.43%
Last Results with these Odds
FBC Melgar - the odds 1.3 are the expected chance of winning is 72.59%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.
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Cabezudo J. (G) 
Gonzalez L. 
Minda K. 
Quagliata N. 
Lino D. 
Jesus Alcantar 
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