The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Comerciantes Unidos 25.6%
Draw 32.2%
Alianza Lima 42.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
24.8%
30.5%
44.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Comerciantes Unidos has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)
Alianza Lima has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
0%
50%
50%
Comerciantes Unidos - Alianza Lima Predictions
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Alianza Lima will win (votes: 2 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
17. Cordova M. (G) 16. F. Rojas 30. Guzman P. 6. Rodriguez J. 15. Cossio A. 20. Parodi J. 4. Arias A. 11. Herrera J. 10. Carpio Ferro M. P. 25. Vilca R. 9. Sen M. (C)
1. Duarte A. (G) 17. Advincula L. 4. Chavez G. 6. Garces R. (C) 3. Antoni M. 13. Huaman M. 7. Gaibor F. 5. Pavez E. 20. Velez J. 99. Girotti F. 8. Castillo E.
Substitutes
40. Alcedo F. 8. Ayovi W. 99. Charun J. (G) 19. Lino D. 50. Olivares J. 13. Perez Azambuya E. M. 28. Pinto O. 18. Rodriguez A. 14. Salinas T.
29. Archimbaud J. 11. Cantero A. 15. Castillo J. 12. De la Cruz A. (G) 2. Diaz N. 32. Garcia J. 25. Gentile G. 30. Motta G. 22. Neira C.
Coaches
Hernandez J.
Guede P.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
6', Girotti F. 🟨,
16', 0 - 1, Castillo E. ⚽, Garces R. (A),
38', Chavez G. 🟨,
40', Gaibor F. 🟨,
45+2', 1 - 1, Sen M. ⚽, Carpio Ferro M. P. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
50', 2 - 1, Herrera J. ⚽, Vilca R. (A),
59', Chavez G. ↓, Cantero A. ↑,
60', Garces R. 🟨,
66', Carpio Ferro M. P. ↓, Pinto O. ↑,
66', 2 - 2, Castillo E. ⚽,
79', Velez J. ↓, Neira C. ↑,
79', Herrera J. ↓, Ayovi W. ↑,
79', Parodi J. ↓, Rodriguez A. ↑,
90', Arias A. ↓, Olivares J. ↑,
90+4', Girotti F. ↓, Motta G. ↑,
90+8', Ayovi W. 🟨,
90+8', F. Rojas 🟨,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Comerciantes Unidos won 0.
Alianza Lima's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins โ 1).
Alianza Lima may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Alianza Lima is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
There will not play in Alianza Lima: Ramos L.
(Injury)
In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Comerciantes Unidos won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 13:31. (average 0.8:1.8).
Including home matches between the teams, Comerciantes Unidos won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 9:8. (average 1.1:1).