Match Info

Club Friendly

Date: 11 July 2026, Saturday


	Universitario de Deportes		Millonarios

	1	X	2
	2.35	3.10	2.65
	2.28	2.95	2.95
	2.41	3.45	2.69
	2.51	2.59	3.36	Watch
	2.30	3.25	2.55
	2.33	3.20	2.70	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.36 ↑ (2.02)	3.09 ↓ (3.3)	2.82 ↓ (3.44)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Universitario de Deportes
38.4%

Draw
29.4%

Millonarios
32.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.5%

27.8%

26.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45%

27.5%

27%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Universitario de Deportes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Universitario de Deportes's form might have worsened.

Millonarios has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Millonarios's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Universitario de Deportes than the current prediction. (+6.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Universitario de Deportes, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Millonarios than the current prediction. (-5.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Millonarios, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Universitario de Deportes - Millonarios Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Romero D. (G) 30. Alzugaray L. 17. Concha J. 5. Di Benedetto M. 2. Fara C. 19. Flores E. 33. Inga C. 23. Murrugarra J. 24. Polo A. (C) 28. Quiroz A. 20. Valera A.	1. Burrai J. (G) 17. Arias J. 23. Castro L. 27. Contreras R. 19. Garcia M. 26. Llinas A. (C) 6. Mosquera S. 2. Sarabia C. 18. Urena R. 22. Valencia S. 30. Viveros S.
Substitutes
10. Calcaterra H. 6. Castillo J. 8. Fertoli H. 21. Guivin Tanta J. 18. Lapadula G. 11. Rivera J. 3. Riveros W. 4. Santamaria A. 25. Vargas M. (G)	12. Aguirre J. (G) 24. Angulo J. 13. Chaverra F. 38. Diaz J. 4. Elizalde E. 29. Moreno Paz A. F. 25. Quintero D. 10. Ruiz D. 3. Samuel M. 14. Silva D. 28. Vega S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 0)
52', 1 - 0, Rivera J. ⚽,
79', 2 - 0, Rivera J. ⚽,
90', 🟥,
90+1', Contreras R. 🟥,

Preview

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Uni de Deportes may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Uni de Deportes has had a series of home games.

Uni de Deportes might have a minor edge in this game.

In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.

Last Results with these Odds

Millonarios - the odds 3.44 are the expected chance of winning is 26.7%, but this team recently wins 38% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Universitario de Deportes
Club Friendly
04.07.26	Universitario de Deportes - Sport Boys	Canceled ✺
Peruvian Copa de la Liga
26.06.26	Universitario de Deportes - Atlético Grau	1:1 ✺
12.06.26	Pirata - Universitario de Deportes	2:0 ✺
Peruvian Liga 1
30.05.26	Universitario de Deportes - Sport Huancayo	2:1 ✺
Copa Libertadores
26.05.26	Universitario de Deportes - Deportes Tolima	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 ?TLWT
- Millonarios FC
Colombian Copa
29.05.26	Atlético Cali - Millonarios	1:8 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
26.05.26	Millonarios - OHiggins	1:2 ✺
Colombian Copa
23.05.26	Millonarios - Boyacá Chicó	2:2 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
19.05.26	São Paulo - Millonarios	1:1 ✺
Colombian Copa
15.05.26	Patriotas - Millonarios	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 WLTTW

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