Match Info

Liga 1 - Clausura - Round 1

Date: 18 July 2026, Saturday

Location: Estadio Unión Tarma (Tarma)

Where to Watch on TV:


Peru	Liga 1 Max
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	ADT Tarma		Universitario de Deportes

	1	X	2
	3	3.25	2.3	Watch
	2.87	3.00	2.25
	3.1	3.15	2.32	Watch
	3.1	3.12	2.41
	3.11	3.18	2.34	Watch
	3.05	3.05	2.35
	3.02	3.27	2.31	Watch
	3	3.1	2.27
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.03 ↓ (3.21)	3.14 ↓ (3.23)	2.32 ↑ (2.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

ADT Tarma
30.6%

Draw
29.5%

Universitario de Deportes
39.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29%

28.8%

42.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.9%

27.7%

43.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

ADT Tarma has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

Universitario de Deportes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for ADT Tarma than the current prediction. (-2.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Universitario de Deportes than the current prediction. (+4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
40%	20%	40%

ADT Tarma - Universitario de Deportes Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. ADT will win (votes: 2 - 40%). Uni de Deportes will win (votes: 2 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. Valencia J. (G) 59. Nunez O. 23. Narvaez J. 44. Benincasa H. 6. Ojeda A. 15. Alvino J. 16. Perez L. 80. Canela Torres J. J. 7. Rojas J. (C) 26. Garcilazo J. 32. Bauman J.	1. Romero D. (G) 24. Polo A. (C) 2. Fara C. 5. Di Benedetto M. 33. Inga C. 30. Alzugaray L. 23. Murrugarra J. 8. Fertoli H. 17. Concha J. 20. Valera A. 11. Rivera J.
Substitutes
25. Garcia S. 18. Mazzo A. 31. Navarro J. 24. Peralta S. 9. Rengifo H. 2. Reyes J. 22. Rodriguez A. 3. Rugel L. 33. Solis C. (G)	6. Castillo J. 60. Diaz J. 19. Flores E. 18. Lapadula G. 34. Loayza C. 28. Quiroz A. 15. Requena J. 3. Riveros W. 25. Vargas M. (G)
Coaches
Usucar F.	Cuper H.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
20', 0 - 1, Valera A. ⚽,
28', 1 - 1, Canela Torres J. J. ⚽,
30', Perez L. 🟨,
31', 1 - 2, Alzugaray L. ⚽,
45+4', Narvaez J. 🟥,
45+7', Murrugarra J. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
67', Rivera J. ↓, Flores E. ↑,
67', Canela Torres J. J. ↓, Mazzo A. ↑,
67', Concha J. ↓, Quiroz A. ↑,
76', Fertoli H. ↓, Requena J. ↑,
76', Murrugarra J. ↓, Castillo J. ↑,
78', Alvino J. ↓, Rengifo H. ↑,
83', Valera A. ↓, Lapadula G. ↑,
87', Garcilazo J. ↓, Rodriguez A. ↑,
87', Ojeda A. ↓, Rugel L. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, ADT won 1.

In recent matches, ADT has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Uni de Deportes is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

ADT may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Uni de Deportes has had a series of home games.

Uni de Deportes is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

There will not play in ADT: Cedron V. (Yellow Cards)

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, ADT won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 6 matches, and goals 9:17. (average 1:1.9).

Including home matches between the teams, ADT won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 6:3. (average 1.5:0.8).

Standings

Clausura

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	U. de Deportes	11	6	3	2	21:18	3	21
17	AD Tarma	11	1	3	7	7:21	-14	6

Last Results with these Odds

Universitario de Deportes - the odds 2.2 are the expected chance of winning is 42.21%, but this team recently wins 36% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- ADT Tarma
Peruvian Copa de la Liga
10.07.26	Cienciano - ADT Tarma	2:3 ✺
26.06.26	Sport Huancayo - ADT Tarma	1:0 ✺
19.06.26	ADT Tarma - Alianza Universidad de Huánuco	3:1 ✺
12.06.26	Unión Minas - ADT Tarma	0:0 ✺
Peruvian Liga 1
30.05.26	ADT Tarma - Cusco	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 WLWTL
- Universitario de Deportes
Club Friendly
11.07.26	Universitario de Deportes - Millonarios	2:0 ✺
04.07.26	Universitario de Deportes - Sport Boys	Canceled ✺
Peruvian Copa de la Liga
26.06.26	Universitario de Deportes - Atlético Grau	1:1 ✺
12.06.26	Pirata - Universitario de Deportes	2:0 ✺
Peruvian Liga 1
30.05.26	Universitario de Deportes - Sport Huancayo	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 W?TLW

Latest Head to Head

Peruvian Liga 1
01.02.26	Universitario de Deportes - ADT Tarma	2:0
26.10.25	ADT Tarma - Universitario de Deportes	1:2
20.06.25	Universitario de Deportes - ADT Tarma	5:0
19.10.24	Universitario de Deportes - ADT Tarma	2:1
03.05.24	ADT Tarma - Universitario de Deportes	2:0
16.08.23	ADT Tarma - Universitario de Deportes	2:0
18.03.23	Universitario de Deportes - ADT Tarma	3:1

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