The best margin for this event is 5.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Cienciano 45.3%
Draw 28.6%
Universitario de Deportes 26.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
35.9%
29.5%
34.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
35.2%
28.9%
35.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Cienciano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.4%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Cienciano's performance.
Universitario de Deportes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.5%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Universitario de Deportes might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cienciano than the current prediction. (-10.1%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Cienciano that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Universitario de Deportes than the current prediction. (+9.2%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Universitario de Deportes could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
50%
25%
25%
Cienciano - Universitario de Deportes Predictions
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Cienciano will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Uni de Deportes will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Falcon G. (G) 22. Cabello C. 4. Amondarain M. 3. Becerra K. 16. Martinich M. 88. Barreto G. 5. Arias Fierro S. D. 7. Souza Espana C. 10. Hohberg A. 19. Succar M. 21. Garces C. (C)
1. Romero D. (G) 24. Polo A. (C) 5. Di Benedetto M. 2. Fara C. 33. Inga C. 8. Fertoli H. 15. Requena J. 28. Quiroz A. 30. Alzugaray L. 20. Valera A. 11. Rivera J.
Substitutes
8. Aguirre G. 39. Caparo H. 14. Cavero S. 31. Espinoza Gomes I. (G) 18. La Torre D. 29. Robles A. 25. Salazar R. 17. Sandoval R. 27. Yovera A.
10. Calcaterra H. 6. Castillo J. 17. Concha J. 21. Guivin Tanta J. 18. Lapadula G. 23. Murrugarra J. 3. Riveros W. 4. Santamaria A. 25. Vargas M. (G)
Coaches
Melgarejo H.
Cuper H.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
34', 1 - 0, Succar M. ⚽, Cabello C. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Alzugaray L. ↓, Guivin Tanta J. ↑,
63', Rivera J. ↓, Lapadula G. ↑,
63', Fertoli H. ↓, Concha J. ↑,
66', Succar M. ↓, Robles A. ↑,
77', Hohberg A. ↓, Caparo H. ↑,
82', 2 - 0, Garces C. ⚽, Souza Espana C. (A),
83', Requena J. ↓, Calcaterra H. ↑,
86', Souza Espana C. ↓, Aguirre G. ↑,
86', Cabello C. ↓, Salazar R. ↑,
87', Barreto G. ↓, Sandoval R. ↑,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cienciano won 0.
Cienciano has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Uni de Deportes is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 4 wins).
Uni de Deportes may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Recently, Uni de Deportes has had a series of home games.
In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
There will not play in Cienciano: Aguilar R.
(Red Card)
There are questionable in Cienciano: Nunez C.
(Injury)
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Cienciano won 3 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 17:34. (average 0.9:1.7).
Including home matches between the teams, Cienciano won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 7:8. (average 0.9:1).
Standings
Clausura
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
3
U. de Deportes
11
6
3
2
21:18
3
21
12
Cienciano
11
3
2
6
14:18
-4
11
Last Results with these Odds
Cienciano - the odds 2.6 are the expected chance of winning is 35.93%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.
Peru
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Falcon G. (G) 
Cabello C. 
Becerra K. 
Martinich M. 
Riveros W. 
Vargas M. (G) 
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