Match Info

SPAIN: SEGUNDA RFEF - GROUP 2 - ROUND 20

Date: 28 January 2024, Sunday


	Barakaldo		Utebo

	1	X	2
	1.65	3.4	4.6
	1.72	3.5	4.75	Watch
	1.66	3.25	4.48
	1.69	3.3	5.61
	2	3	3.5
	1.71	3.38	5.04
	1.7	3.45	4.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.73 ↓ (2.07)	3.33 ↑ (3)	4.65 ↑ (3.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Barakaldo
52.8%

Draw
27.5%

Utebo
19.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.5%

30%

26.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.3%

28.8%

25.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Barakaldo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Barakaldo's performance.

Utebo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Utebo might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Barakaldo than the current prediction. (-7.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Barakaldo that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Utebo than the current prediction. (+5.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Utebo could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Barakaldo - Utebo Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

One of the most exciting matches of the day will feature two top-of-the-table teams (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs).

Barakaldo in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Recent matches Utebo is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Utebo could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Barakaldo is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Barakaldo to win the game is with odds 1.72.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Barakaldo won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Barakaldo CF
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
21.01.24	Barakaldo - Arenas Club de Getxo	1:0 ✺
13.01.24	San Juan - Barakaldo	0:2 ✺
07.01.24	Mutilvera - Barakaldo	1:3 ✺
16.12.23	Barakaldo - Zaragoza B	1:0 ✺
10.12.23	Alavés B - Barakaldo	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.3 WWWWW
- Utebo FC
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
21.01.24	Utebo - Athletic Bilbao B	0:0 ✺
14.01.24	Arenas Club de Getxo - Utebo	1:1 ✺
07.01.24	UD Logroñés - Utebo	3:0 ✺
17.12.23	Utebo - San Juan	3:2 ✺
10.12.23	Utebo - Brea	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 TTLWT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
16.09.23	Utebo - Barakaldo	1:1

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