Match Info

Segunda RFEF - Group 2 - Round 33

Date: 27 April 2025, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	Footballclub


	Calahorra		Utebo

	1	X	2
	1.8	3.4	3.6
	1.85	3.4	3.75
	1.88	3.47	3.96
	1.84	3.53	3.82
	1.87	3.45	3.88
	1.85	3.4	3.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.85 ↓ (2.46)	3.44 ↑ (3.06)	3.79 ↑ (2.76)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Calahorra
49.4%

Draw
26.5%

Utebo
24.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.1%

29.8%

33.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38%

30.5%

32.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Calahorra has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Calahorra's performance.

Utebo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Utebo might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Calahorra than the current prediction. (-11.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Calahorra that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Utebo than the current prediction. (+8.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Utebo could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Calahorra - Utebo Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
4', 🟥,
11', 1 - 0, Aparicio D. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 14 in the zone Relegation and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs).

Utebo is Qualified for Segunda RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs

Calahorra is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Utebo is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

In this match Calahorra is a favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Calahorra won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 2:3 (average 0.7:1).

Including matches at home between the teams Calahorra won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1:0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Calahorra
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
20.04.25	Eibar B - Calahorra	1:0 ✺
13.04.25	Calahorra - Tudelano	0:3 ✺
06.04.25	Ejea - Calahorra	2:2 ✺
30.03.25	Calahorra - Izarra	2:1 ✺
23.03.25	Gernika - Calahorra	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 LLTWL
- Utebo FC
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
20.04.25	Utebo - Teruel	3:2 ✺
13.04.25	Utebo - Eibar B	2:1 ✺
06.04.25	Tudelano - Utebo	1:1 ✺
30.03.25	Utebo - Ejea	2:2 ✺
23.03.25	Izarra - Utebo	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 WWTTW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
15.12.24	Utebo - Calahorra	2:1
11.02.24	Calahorra - Utebo	1:0
30.09.23	Utebo - Calahorra	1:0

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