Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 14 - Round 28

Date: 28 March 2026, Saturday


	Montijo		Montehermoso

	1	X	2
	1.98	3.05	3.6
	2.07	3.01	3.73
	1.26	5.25	10.29	Watch
	2.05	2.8	3.8
	2.01	3.3	3.71
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.87 ↑ (1.7)	3.48 ↑ (3.3)	5.03 ↑ (4.78)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Montijo
52.3%

Draw
28.2%

Montehermoso
19.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.5%

27.5%

19%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.4%

27.9%

18.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Montijo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

Montehermoso has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Montijo than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Montehermoso than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

Montijo - Montehermoso Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
26', 1 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (3 - 0)
48', 2 - 0, ⚽,
52', 3 - 0, ⚽,
82', 4 - 0, ⚽,

Preview

A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 11 and 17 in the zone Relegation).

Recent form of Montijo has been disappointing (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Montehermoso has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Recently, Montijo has had a series of away games.

In this match, Montijo is seen as the favorite.

In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
10	Montijo	5	2	0	3	6:8	-2	6

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UD Montijo
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 14
22.03.26	Villanovense - Montijo	3:1 ✺
14.03.26	Montijo - Cabeza del Buey	1:1 ✺
08.03.26	Llerenense - Montijo	2:2 ✺
01.03.26	Badajoz - Montijo	2:1 ✺
22.02.26	Pueblonuevo - Montijo	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 LTTLT
- CP Montehermoso
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 14
22.03.26	Montehermoso - Moralo	1:2 ✺
15.03.26	Diocesano - Montehermoso	0:0 ✺
08.03.26	Montehermoso - Villafranca	1:0 ✺
01.03.26	Don Benito - Montehermoso	3:1 ✺
22.02.26	Montehermoso - Santa Amalia	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.1 LTWLW

Montijo - Montehermoso: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide