The best margin for this event is 8.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Santa Amalia 41.9%
Draw 36.9%
Calamonte 21.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
46.9%
29.2%
23.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
48.9%
28%
22.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Santa Amalia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)
Calamonte has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Santa Amalia than the current prediction. (+7%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Santa Amalia, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Calamonte than the current prediction. (+1.7%)
Santa Amalia - Calamonte Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
23', 0 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
52', 1 - 1, ⚽,
90+5', 2 - 1, ⚽,
Preview
A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 13 and 16 in the zone Relegation).
Santa Amalia has been struggling in recent matches (last 5 games: 0 wins).
In recent matches, Calamonte has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
Santa Amalia could have a small edge in this match.
In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Santa Amalia won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:5. (average 1.3:1.3).
Including home match between the teams, Santa Amalia won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.
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