Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 14 - Round 26

Date: 14 March 2026, Saturday


	Montijo		Cabeza del Buey

	1	X	2
	2.62	2.98	2.52
	2.75	2.91	2.66
	2.71	2.97	2.62	Watch
	2.68	2.84	2.58
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.69 ↑ (2.66)	2.93 ↑ (2.92)	2.6 ↑ (2.59)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Montijo
33.8%

Draw
31.1%

Cabeza del Buey
35.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34%

31%

35%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.9%

30%

36.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Montijo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

Cabeza del Buey has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Montijo than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cabeza del Buey than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

Montijo - Cabeza del Buey Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
4', 0 - 1, ⚽,
17', 1 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 11 and 6).

Both teams are currently in poor form.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Montijo won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
10	Montijo	5	2	0	3	6:8	-2	6
11	Cabeza del Buey	5	1	2	2	6:6	0	5

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UD Montijo
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 14
08.03.26	Llerenense - Montijo	2:2 ✺
01.03.26	Badajoz - Montijo	2:1 ✺
22.02.26	Pueblonuevo - Montijo	2:2 ✺
14.02.26	Montijo - Jerez	0:1 ✺
08.02.26	Montijo - Moralo	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 TLTLT
- CD Cabeza del Buey
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 14
08.03.26	Cabeza del Buey - Moralo	1:3 ✺
01.03.26	Diocesano - Cabeza del Buey	0:0 ✺
22.02.26	Cabeza del Buey - Villafranca	1:0 ✺
15.02.26	Don Benito - Cabeza del Buey	2:1 ✺
01.02.26	Azuaga - Cabeza del Buey	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.9 LTWLL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 14
02.11.25	Cabeza del Buey - Montijo	1:0

Montijo - Cabeza del Buey: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide