Match Info

ITALY: Serie C - Group A - Round 26

Date: 8 February 2025, Saturday

Location: Mario Gavagnin-Sinibaldo Nocini (Verona)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	NOW TV, Sky Sport 256


	Caldiero Terme		Pergolettese

	1	X	2
	2.8	2.87	2.4
	2.9	2.75	2.48
	2.98	2.96	2.65
	2.98	2.86	2.63	Watch
	2.8	2.88	2.5
	2.76	2.99	2.42	Watch
	2.9	2.75	2.48
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.87 ↑ (2.38)	2.87 ↓ (3.22)	2.51 ↓ (2.65)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Caldiero Terme
31.8%

Draw
31.9%

Pergolettese
36.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.8%

28.1%

34.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.9%

28.9%

33.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Caldiero Terme has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Caldiero Terme's form might have worsened.

Pergolettese has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Caldiero Terme than the current prediction. (+7.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Caldiero Terme, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pergolettese than the current prediction. (-3.3%)

Caldiero Terme - Pergolettese Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
33', 0 - 1, Basili D. ⚽,
41', Parodi G. 🟨,
44', Jaouhari Z. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
63', Fasan N. ↓, Scappini S. ↑,
64', Parodi G. ↓, Lanzi E. ↑,
69', Marras T. 🟨,
74', Capoferri M. 🟨,
75', Albertini A. ↓, Bignami R. ↑,
75', Gattoni T. ↓, Cisse O. ↑,
80', Basili D. ↓, Anelli N. ↑,
80', Jaouhari Z. ↓, Abubakar S. ↑,
81', Florio M. ↓, Zerbato L. ↑,
90+2', Parker S. 🟨,

Preview

An autsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 18 in the zone Serie C ~ Play Out and 14).

Two teams are playing changeable.

Pergolettese could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Caldiero Terme won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2:3

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Caldiero Terme
Italian Serie C Group A
01.02.25	Alcione - Caldiero Terme	1:1 ✺
26.01.25	Caldiero Terme - Trento	2:0 ✺
Coppa Italia Serie C
22.01.25	Giana Erminio - Caldiero Terme	1:1 ✺
Italian Serie C Group A
18.01.25	Pro Vercelli - Caldiero Terme	2:1 ✺
11.01.25	Caldiero Terme - Triestina	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.3 TWTLL
- US Pergolettese
Italian Serie C Group A
02.02.25	Pergolettese - Atalanta U23	3:1 ✺
24.01.25	FeralpiSalò - Pergolettese	1:2 ✺
19.01.25	Pergolettese - AlbinoLeffe	1:2 ✺
12.01.25	Union Clodiense - Pergolettese	0:1 ✺
06.01.25	Vicenza Virtus - Pergolettese	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 26.6 WWLWL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group A
30.09.24	Pergolettese - Caldiero Terme	3:2

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