Match Info

ITALY: Serie C - Group A - Round 25

Date: 1 February 2025, Saturday

Location: Stadio Ernesto Breda (Sesto San Giovanni)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	NOW TV, Sky Sport 253


	Alcione		Caldiero Terme

	1	X	2
	2.25	3	2.87
	2.32	3.05	2.85
	2.38	3.3	2.82
	2.43	3.22	2.92	Watch
	2.4	3	2.9
	2.37	3.08	2.84	Watch
	2.32	3.05	2.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.35 ↑ (1.91)	3.1 ↓ (3.32)	2.86 ↓ (3.81)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alcione
38.8%

Draw
29.4%

Caldiero Terme
31.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.2%

27.7%

24.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.3%

27.1%

23.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alcione has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Alcione's form might have worsened.

Caldiero Terme has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Caldiero Terme's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alcione than the current prediction. (+10.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Alcione, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Caldiero Terme than the current prediction. (-8.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Caldiero Terme, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	100%	0%

Alcione - Caldiero Terme Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Bacchin F. (G) 80. Bagatti N. 8. Bonaiti S. 3. Chierichetti P. 6. Ciappellano D. 33. Invernizzi A. 31. Marconi M. 96. Palombi S. 4. Piccinocchi M. 25. Pirola F. 37. Stabile G.	45. Crespi G. M. (G) 97. Cazzadori D. 10. Fasan N. 8. Filiciotto A. (C) 20. Florio M. 4. Gattoni T. 15. Gecchele P. 24. Gobetti N. 33. Mazzolo F. 3. Nessi R. 13. Pelagatti C.
Substitutes
44. Acella C. 94. Bertolotti F. 23. Bertoni L. 10. Caremoli T. 20. Dimarco C. 16. Lanzi J. 5. Miculi A. 11. Morselli F. 77. Pessolani G. 17. Pio Loco A. 29. Samele L.	91. Aldegheri L. (G) 85. Cisse O. 1. Giacomel A. (G) 29. Lanzi E. 11. Marras T. 28. Molnar I. 26. Mondini G. 21. Rihai A. 90. Scappini S. 47. Squarzoni S. A. 7. Zerbato L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
2', Nessi R. 🟨,
4', Piccinocchi M. 🟨,
38', Gobetti N. 🟨,
40', 0 - 1, Florio M. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
58', Piccinocchi M. ↓, Pio Loco A. ↑,
58', Marconi M. ↓, Samele L. ↑,
59', Florio M. ↓, Mondini G. ↑,
59', Crespi G. M. ↓, Giacomel A. ↑,
65', Pirola F. ↓, Dimarco C. ↑,
73', Bagatti N. 🟨,
76', Pio Loco A. 🟨,
80', 🟨,
80', 🟥,
81', 1 - 1, Samele L. ⚽,

Preview

This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/32~finals) and 18 in the zone Serie C ~ Play Out).

One and the other team are in an unacceptable form.

Alcione could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Alcione will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Alcione won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3:2 (average 1.5:1).

Including matches at home between the teams Alcione won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1:2

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- ASD Alcione
Italian Serie C Group A
26.01.25	Vicenza Virtus - Alcione	4:1 ✺
19.01.25	Alcione - Padova	0:2 ✺
11.01.25	Renate - Alcione	0:1 ✺
04.01.25	Virtus Verona - Alcione	1:0 ✺
20.12.24	Alcione - Atalanta U23	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 LLWLL
- Caldiero Terme
Italian Serie C Group A
26.01.25	Caldiero Terme - Trento	2:0 ✺
Coppa Italia Serie C
22.01.25	Giana Erminio - Caldiero Terme	1:1 ✺
Italian Serie C Group A
18.01.25	Pro Vercelli - Caldiero Terme	2:1 ✺
11.01.25	Caldiero Terme - Triestina	0:2 ✺
05.01.25	Padova - Caldiero Terme	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.5 WTLLL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group A
25.09.24	Caldiero Terme - Alcione	0:2
Italian Serie D - Group A
19.05.24	Alcione - Caldiero Terme	1:2

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