Match Info

ITALY: Serie C - Group A - Round 17

Date: 1 December 2024, Sunday

Location: Mario Gavagnin-Sinibaldo Nocini (Verona)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	NOW TV, Sky Sport 251


	Caldiero Terme		Union ArzignanoChiampo

	1	X	2
	3.5	2.95	2
	3.65	3.1	2.08
	3.96	2.99	2.08
	3.94	3.06	2.07	Watch
	3.6	3.1	1.95
	3.65	3.13	1.98	Watch
	3.65	3.1	2.08
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.71 ↑ (2.77)	3.06 ↓ (3.21)	2.03 ↓ (2.36)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Caldiero Terme
24.8%

Draw
30%

Union ArzignanoChiampo
45.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33%

28.4%

38.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.7%

28.2%

39%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Caldiero Terme has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Caldiero Terme's form might have worsened.

Union ArzignanoChiampo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Union ArzignanoChiampo's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Caldiero Terme than the current prediction. (+7.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Caldiero Terme, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Union ArzignanoChiampo than the current prediction. (-6.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Union ArzignanoChiampo, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Caldiero Terme - Union ArzignanoChiampo Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Giacomel A. (G) 24. Gobetti N. 23. Baldani N. 28. Molnar I. 11. Marras T. 4. Gattoni T. (C) 26. Mondini G. 33. Mazzolo F. 97. Cazzadori D. 10. Fasan N. 9. Quaggio A.	74. Boseggia E. (G) 4. Rossoni S. 57. Milillo A. 33. Boffelli A. 26. Boccia S. 6. Lakti E. 8. Cerretelli F. 20. Antoniazzi M. 96. Verduci G. 11. Benedetti G. 72. Mattioli A.
Substitutes
91. Aldegheri L. (G) 85. Cisse O. 8. Filiciotto A. 20. Florio M. 15. Gecchele P. 27. Kuqi O. (G) 29. Lanzi E. 14. Pelamatti A. 3. Personi L. 21. Riahi A. 90. Scappini S. 7. Zerbato L.	5. Bordo L. 32. Campesan E. 13. Cariolato F. 2. De Zen R. 14. Di Virgilio M. 10. Lunghi A. 22. Manfrin F. (G) 9. Menabo S. 90. Nepi A. 19. Stefanoni D. 44. Zanella A. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
18', Cerretelli F. 🟨,
25', Boccia S. 🟨,
29', 0 - 1, Mattioli A. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
56', Lakti E. 🟨,
57', Boccia S. ↓, Cariolato F. ↑,
59', 1 - 1, Fasan N. ⚽,
61', Mazzolo F. ↓, Gecchele P. ↑,
61', Mondini G. ↓, Filiciotto A. ↑,
62', Quaggio A. ↓, Lanzi E. ↑,
65', 1 - 2, Mattioli A. ⚽,
72', Marras T. ↓, Scappini S. ↑,
72', Cerretelli F. ↓, Bordo L. ↑,
72', Benedetti G. ↓, Nepi A. ↑,
86', Verduci G. 🟨,
86', Mattioli A. ↓, Lunghi A. ↑,
87', Gobetti N. ↓, Zerbato L. ↑,
90+4', Molnar I. 🟨,

Preview

The game will be played between two neighbours in a tournament table (ranked 16 in the zone Serie C ~ Play Out and 15).

Caldiero Terme is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches ArzignanoChiampo is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

ArzignanoChiampo could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Caldiero Terme won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 4:7 (average 1:1.8).

Including matches at home between the teams Caldiero Terme won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1:2

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Caldiero Terme
Coppa Italia Serie C
27.11.24	Padova - Caldiero Terme	1:2 ✺
Italian Serie C Group A
23.11.24	Atalanta U23 - Caldiero Terme	2:0 ✺
15.11.24	Caldiero Terme - Lumezzane	2:2 ✺
09.11.24	Caldiero Terme - Vicenza Virtus	0:2 ✺
02.11.24	Novara - Caldiero Terme	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.2 WLTLL
- Union ArzignanoChiampo
Italian Serie C Group A
24.11.24	Union ArzignanoChiampo - Novara	0:2 ✺
16.11.24	Renate - Union ArzignanoChiampo	0:0 ✺
09.11.24	Union ArzignanoChiampo - Pergolettese	1:1 ✺
02.11.24	Giana Erminio - Union ArzignanoChiampo	0:1 ✺
29.10.24	Union ArzignanoChiampo - Pro Patria	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 LTTWW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group C
06.03.22	Caldiero Terme - Union ArzignanoChiampo	1:2
24.10.21	Union ArzignanoChiampo - Caldiero Terme	4:2
Italian Serie D - Group A
16.06.21	Union ArzignanoChiampo - Caldiero Terme	1:1 ET
Italian Serie D - Group C
14.02.21	Union ArzignanoChiampo - Caldiero Terme	0:0

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