Match Info

ITALY: Serie C - Group A - Round 15

Date: 15 November 2024, Friday

Location: Mario Gavagnin-Sinibaldo Nocini (Verona)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	NOW TV, Sky Sport 254


	Caldiero Terme		Lumezzane

	1	X	2
	2.65	2.87	2.5
	2.75	2.95	2.65
	2.92	2.85	2.7
	2.91	2.78	2.76	Watch
	2.6	3	2.6
	2.74	2.85	2.54	Watch
	2.75	2.95	2.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.76 ↓ (3.02)	2.89 ↓ (2.97)	2.63 ↑ (2.29)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Caldiero Terme
33.3%

Draw
31.8%

Lumezzane
35%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30%

30.5%

39.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.5%

31%

39%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Caldiero Terme has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)

Lumezzane has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Caldiero Terme than the current prediction. (-2.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lumezzane than the current prediction. (+4%)

Caldiero Terme - Lumezzane Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Giacomel A. (G) 33. Mazzolo F. 28. Molnar I. 24. Gobetti N. 23. Baldani N. 4. Gattoni T. 8. Filiciotto A. 26. Mondini G. 11. Marras T. 7. Zerbato L. (C) 10. Fasan N.	22. Carnelos M. (G) 66. Regazzetti S. 3. Pisano E. (C) 26. Terranova E. 25. Pagliari M. 16. Tenkorang J. 5. Taugourdeau A. 10. Malotti M. 31. Ferro M. 45. Monachello G. 32. Iori M.
Substitutes
5. Amoh A. A. 27. Bertolazzi G. (G) 97. Cazzadori D. 85. Cisse O. 20. Florio M. 6. Furini E. 15. Gecchele P. 22. Kuqi O. (G) 29. Lanzi E. 14. Pelamatti A. 3. Personi L. 9. Quaggio A.	73. Arici A. 11. Corti N. 2. Deratti J. 8. Lipari M. 7. Moscati M. 12. Ottolini E. (G) 77. Pannitteri O. 15. Papetti F. 24. Piga M. 6. Pogliano C. 28. Scanzi M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
20', 0 - 1, Monachello G. ⚽,
22', Regazzetti S. 🟨,
38', Gobetti N. 🟨,
45+2', Monachello G. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
52', Gattoni T. 🟨,
55', 1 - 1, Marras T. ⚽,
56', Regazzetti S. ↓, Moscati M. ↑,
63', Giacomel A. 🟨,
68', Mondini G. ↓, Cazzadori D. ↑,
74', Deratti J. ↓, Piga M. ↑,
74', Ferro M. ↓, Scanzi M. ↑,
75', Monachello G. ↓, Corti N. ↑,
76', Zerbato L. ↓, Florio M. ↑,
82', 2 - 1, Filiciotto A. ⚽,
83', Tenkorang J. ↓, Pannitteri O. ↑,
85', Fasan N. ↓, Quaggio A. ↑,
85', Marras T. ↓, Furini E. ↑,
88', 2 - 2, Piga M. ⚽,
90+3', Taugourdeau A. 🟨,
90+4', Filiciotto A. 🟨,

Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and an outsider (ranked 16 in the zone Serie C ~ Play Out and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/32~finals)).

Two teams are playing changeable.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Caldiero Terme
Italian Serie C Group A
09.11.24	Caldiero Terme - Vicenza Virtus	0:2 ✺
02.11.24	Novara - Caldiero Terme	3:1 ✺
29.10.24	Caldiero Terme - Giana Erminio	1:0 ✺
26.10.24	Renate - Caldiero Terme	0:0 ✺
18.10.24	Caldiero Terme - Pro Patria	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 LLWTT
- FC Lumezzane
Italian Serie C Group A
10.11.24	Lumezzane - AlbinoLeffe	1:0 ✺
02.11.24	Renate - Lumezzane	1:2 ✺
29.10.24	Lumezzane - Pergolettese	0:2 ✺
26.10.24	Alcione - Lumezzane	1:0 ✺
19.10.24	Lumezzane - Giana Erminio	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.5 WWLLW

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