Match Info

ITALY: Serie C - Group A - Round 13

Date: 2 November 2024, Saturday

Location: Stadio Silvio Piola (Novara)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	NOW TV, Sky Sport 255


	Novara		Caldiero Terme

	1	X	2
	1.77	3.1	4.2
	1.83	3.2	4.5
	1.82	3.15	4.68
	1.82	3.26	4.79	Watch
	1.8	3.2	4.2
	1.81	3.2	4.28	Watch
	1.83	3.2	4.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.81 ↓ (1.83)	3.19 ↑ (3.12)	4.45 ↓ (4.46)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Novara
50.6%

Draw
28.8%

Caldiero Terme
20.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.1%

29.4%

20.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.1%

28.3%

19.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Novara has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

Caldiero Terme has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Novara than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Caldiero Terme than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80%	20%	0%

Novara - Caldiero Terme Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Novara will win (votes: 3 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Minelli S. (G) 28. Cannavaro A. 5. Bertoncini D. 79. Lancini E. 10. Donadio C. 19. Calcagni R. 21. Ranieri R. (C) 99. Basso G. 72. Agyemang G. 23. Morosini L. 13. Ongaro E.	1. Giacomel A. (G) 14. Pelamatti A. 28. Molnar I. 33. Mazzolo F. 24. Gobetti N. 8. Filiciotto A. 6. Furini E. 85. Cisse O. 11. Marras T. 10. Fasan N. 97. Cazzadori D.
Substitutes
9. Brkic M. 4. Cancola D. 31. Desjardins A. (G) 90. Ganz S. 24. Ghiringhelli L. 15. Khailoti O. 44. Koblar L. 26. Lorenzini F. 70. Manseri K. 3. Migliardi F. 12. Negri E. (G) 6. Riccardi D.	91. Aldegheri L. (G) 5. Amoh A. A. 20. Florio M. 15. Gecchele P. 22. Kuqi O. (G) 29. Lanzi E. 9. Quaggio A. 7. Zerbato L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
11', 1 - 0, Morosini L. ⚽,
17', Bertoncini D. 🟨,
20', Gobetti N. 🟨,
30', Marras T. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
46', Cisse O. ↓, Florio M. ↑,
46', 2 - 0, Ongaro E. ⚽,
51', 3 - 0, Ranieri R. (Pen),
62', Mazzolo F. ↓, Amoh A. A. ↑,
65', Cannavaro A. 🟨,
65', Morosini L. ↓, Ganz S. ↑,
65', Bertoncini D. ↓, Khailoti O. ↑,
68', Furini E. ↓, Lanzi E. ↑,
68', Cazzadori D. ↓, Quaggio A. ↑,
74', Calcagni R. ↓, Ghiringhelli L. ↑,
74', Lancini E. ↓, Riccardi D. ↑,
77', Marras T. ↓, Zerbato L. ↑,
77', Donadio C. 🟨,
83', Cannavaro A. ↓, Lorenzini F. ↑,
90', 3 - 1, Fasan N. ⚽,
90+3', Florio M. 🟨,

Preview

Let's enjoy game between two mid-table teams (ranked 11 and 12).

Novara is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Caldiero Terme is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Caldiero Terme could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Novara is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Novara Calcio
Italian Serie C Group A
29.10.24	Novara - Vicenza Virtus	0:0 ✺
25.10.24	Giana Erminio - Novara	2:2 ✺
19.10.24	Novara - AlbinoLeffe	2:0 ✺
11.10.24	Renate - Novara	0:1 ✺
05.10.24	Novara - Pergolettese	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.9 TTWWW
- Caldiero Terme
Italian Serie C Group A
29.10.24	Caldiero Terme - Giana Erminio	1:0 ✺
26.10.24	Renate - Caldiero Terme	0:0 ✺
18.10.24	Caldiero Terme - Pro Patria	1:1 ✺
13.10.24	FeralpiSalò - Caldiero Terme	2:0 ✺
06.10.24	Caldiero Terme - Virtus Verona	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 WTTLL

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