Match Info

Serie C - Group A - Round 29

Date: 27 February 2026, Friday

Location: Tommaso Dal Molin (Arzignano)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia


	Union ArzignanoChiampo		Novara

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.68	2.88	2.72	Watch
	2.87	2.79	2.81
	2.75	2.82	2.71	Watch
	2.63	2.7	2.63
	2.71	3.02	2.71	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.73 ↑ (2.57)	2.84 ↓ (2.97)	2.72 ↓ (2.76)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Union ArzignanoChiampo
33.7%

Draw
32.4%

Novara
33.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.8%

30.9%

33.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.9%

31.9%

32.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Union ArzignanoChiampo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

Novara has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Union ArzignanoChiampo than the current prediction. (+3.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Novara than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	16.7%	33.3%

Union ArzignanoChiampo - Novara Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. ArzignanoChiampo will win (votes: 3 - 50%). Novara will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Manfrin F. (G) 5. Rossoni S. 57. Milillo A. 19. Toniolo F. 23. Bernardi E. 6. Lakti E. 8. Damiani M. 15. Bianchi N. 26. Boccia S. 7. Lanzi E. 32. Nanni N.	1. Boseggia E. (G) 28. Cannavaro A. 26. Lorenzini F. 15. Khailoti O. 99. Basso G. 19. Collodel R. 21. Ranieri R. (C) 72. Agyemang G. 11. Ledonne N. 7. Lanini E. 9. Alberti T.
Substitutes
1. Bertini T. (G) 33. Boffelli A. 13. Cariolato F. 17. Castegnaro L. 12. Lotto R. (G) 9. Mattioli A. 10. Minesso M. 16. Moretti M. 90. Nwachukwu S. J. 18. Perini G.	36. Arboscello R. 6. Citi A. 65. Cortese A. 20. da Graca C. 71. D'Alessio L. 17. Dell'Erba D. 3. Lartey S. 4. Malaspina M. 23. Morosini L. 16. Raffaelli M. (G) 12. Rossetti M. (G) 2. Scarpetta J. 70. Valdesi A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
44', Lorenzini F. 🟨,
45+1', 1 - 0, Bernardi E. (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Alberti T. ↓, da Graca C. ↑,
46', Bianchi N. ↓, Castegnaro L. ↑,
56', Lanini E. ↓, Morosini L. ↑,
59', Castegnaro L. 🟨,
62', Ranieri R. ↓, Arboscello R. ↑,
62', Damiani M. ↓, Moretti M. ↑,
62', Nanni N. ↓, Minesso M. ↑,
73', Lanzi E. ↓, Mattioli A. ↑,
77', Boccia S. ↓, Cariolato F. ↑,
81', Agyemang G. ↓, Dell'Erba D. ↑,
81', Collodel R. ↓, Valdesi A. ↑,
90+2', 1 - 1, Valdesi A. ⚽,

Preview

Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 15 and 11).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, ArzignanoChiampo won 1.

ArzignanoChiampo is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

In recent matches, Novara has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, ArzignanoChiampo won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 3:9. (average 0.4:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, ArzignanoChiampo won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:4. (average 0.3:1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Arzignano	9	5	2	2	14:10	4	17
13	Novara	9	2	3	4	8:12	-4	9

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Union ArzignanoChiampo
Italian Serie C Group A
22.02.26	Union ArzignanoChiampo - Ospitaletto	1:2 ✺
15.02.26	AlbinoLeffe - Union ArzignanoChiampo	2:0 ✺
11.02.26	Union ArzignanoChiampo - Trento	0:2 ✺
07.02.26	Alcione - Union ArzignanoChiampo	1:0 ✺
31.01.26	Union ArzignanoChiampo - Triestina	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.1 LLLLW
- Novara Calcio
Italian Serie C Group A
21.02.26	Novara - Giana Erminio	3:1 ✺
15.02.26	Triestina - Novara	0:1 ✺
11.02.26	Novara - AlbinoLeffe	2:2 ✺
07.02.26	Novara - Brescia	0:0 ✺
01.02.26	Pro Vercelli - Novara	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.7 WWTTL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group A
17.10.25	Novara - Union ArzignanoChiampo	1:0
05.04.25	Novara - Union ArzignanoChiampo	1:0
24.11.24	Union ArzignanoChiampo - Novara	0:2
17.02.24	Union ArzignanoChiampo - Novara	0:0
13.10.23	Novara - Union ArzignanoChiampo	0:1
08.04.23	Union ArzignanoChiampo - Novara	1:1
04.12.22	Novara - Union ArzignanoChiampo	3:1

Union ArzignanoChiampo - Novara: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide