The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+
Current Win Probability
Union ArzignanoChiampo 38.3%
Draw 30.3%
Novara 31.4%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
43.1%
30.5%
26.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
44.2%
30%
25.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Union ArzignanoChiampo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)
Novara has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Novara's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Union ArzignanoChiampo than the current prediction. (+5.9%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Union ArzignanoChiampo, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Novara than the current prediction. (-5.6%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Novara, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Union ArzignanoChiampo - Novara Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
#ad
Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Vannucchi T. (G) 31. De Santis E. 57. Milillo A. 23. Bernardi E. 2. Fosu M. J. 30. Gatti C. 16. Moretti M. 13. Cariolato F. 9. Mattioli A. 6. Lakti E. (C) 32. Nanni N.
33. Brancolini F. (G) 28. Cannavaro A. 5. Lorenzini F. 15. Khailoti O. 70. Valdesi A. 19. Collodel R. (C) 99. Basso G. 23. Zambataro E. 14. Romano M. 8. Dell'Erba D. 9. Zuppel D.
Substitutes
5. Campesan E. 17. Castegnaro L. 12. Contarato E. (G) 21. Finizio D. 26. Gambardella V. 15. Gostimirovic M. 22. Manfrin F. (G) 27. Nenna A. 11. Penta M. 10. Romio J.
22. Anfossi P. (G) 36. Arboscello R. 1. Boseggia E. (G) 31. Canneti J. 39. Chieregato L. 38. Coco M. 21. Cortese A. 71. D'Alessio L. 7. Lanini E. 11. Ledonne N. 6. Nichetti M.
Coaches
Di Donato D.
Iori M.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
17', 1 - 0, Nanni N. ⚽, Milillo A. (A),
25', Basso G. 🟨,
39', Lorenzini F. 🟨,
44', De Santis E. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
51', Bernardi E. 🟨,
55', Basso G. ↓, Arboscello R. ↑,
61', Fosu M. J. ↓, Campesan E. ↑,
70', Dell'Erba D. ↓, Ledonne N. ↑,
70', Valdesi A. ↓, Nichetti M. ↑,
71', Cannavaro A. 🟥,
74', Gatti C. ↓, Castegnaro L. ↑,
81', 🟨,
83', Romano M. ↓, Lanini E. ↑,
84', Nanni N. ↓, Romio J. ↑,
84', De Santis E. ↓, Finizio D. ↑,
84', Lakti E. ↓, Penta M. ↑,
90', 2 - 0, Romio J. ⚽, Penta M. (A),
Preview
An upper-table contender faces a competitive test against mid-table opposition (ranked 6th in the Promotion - Serie C - Promotion - Play Offs (1/32 - finals) and 14th).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, ArzignanoChiampo won 0.
ArzignanoChiampo has displayed good consistency in recent games (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
Novara has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 1 win).
In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.
In the last 9 head-to-head meetings, ArzignanoChiampo has recorded 1 win, 3 draws, and 5 losses, with a goal aggregate of 4:10 (averaging 0.4:1.1 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for ArzignanoChiampo against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 3 draws, and 2 losses, with 2:5 goals (averaging 0.4:1 per game).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
4
Arzignano
11
6
2
3
16:11
5
20
16
Novara
11
2
4
5
10:16
-6
10
Last Results with these Odds
Union ArzignanoChiampo - the odds 2.11 are the expected chance of winning is 43.15%, but this team recently wins 31% of matches with these odds.
Novara - the odds 3.45 are the expected chance of winning is 26.33%, but this team recently wins 10% of matches with these odds.
Italy
Watch
#ad
Vannucchi T. (G) 
Lakti E. (C) 
Nanni N. 
Khailoti O. 
Dell'Erba D. 
