Match Info

Campeonato de Portugal - Group A - Round 18

Date: 15 February 2026, Sunday

Location: Complexo Desportivo Francisco Carvalho (Chaves)


	Chaves B		Camacha

	1	X	2
	2.62	3	2.52
	2.72	3.01	2.38
	2.76	3.12	2.44	Watch
	2.7	2.8	2.5
	2.73	3	2.42
	2.75	3	2.42
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.71 ↑ (2.26)	2.99 ↓ (3.25)	2.45 ↓ (2.85)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Chaves B
33.1%

Draw
30.1%

Camacha
36.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.2%

27.9%

31.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.6%

28.9%

30.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Chaves B has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Chaves B's form might have worsened.

Camacha has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chaves B than the current prediction. (+8.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Chaves B, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Camacha than the current prediction. (-6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Camacha, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Chaves B - Camacha Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
33', 🟥,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 9 and 6).

Chaves B is going through a poor run of results (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Camacha's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Chaves B won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:3.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Chaves B	4	3	0	1	5:4	1	9

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Desportivo Chaves B
Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
08.02.26	Machico - Chaves B	1:0 ✺
25.01.26	Chaves B - Brito	0:1 ✺
17.01.26	São Martinho - Chaves B	1:1 ✺
10.01.26	Chaves B - Vianense	1:2 ✺
21.12.25	Chaves B - Tirsense	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 LLTLL
- AD Camacha
Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
08.02.26	Camacha - Limianos	2:2 ✺
31.01.26	Camacha - Vilaverdense	1:0 ✺
25.01.26	Desportivo Monção - Camacha	2:1 ✺
17.01.26	Camacha - Mirandela	1:0 ✺
10.01.26	Ribeira Brava - Camacha	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 TWLWT

Latest Head to Head

Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
28.09.25	Camacha - Chaves B	3:0

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