Match Info

League Two - Round 33

Date: 17 February 2026, Tuesday

Location: Abbey Stadium (Cambridge)

Referee: Brown D. (Eng)


	Cambridge United		Colchester United

	1	X	2
	1.86	3.2	4.33
	1.88	3.25	4.25
	1.91	3.33	4.52
	1.95	3.22	4.08	Watch
	1.95	3	3.9
	1.9	3.16	4.34	Watch
	1.88	3.2	4.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.9 ↓ (2.34)	3.19 ↑ (3.15)	4.27 ↑ (2.88)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cambridge United
49%

Draw
29.2%

Colchester United
21.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.1%

29.1%

31.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39%

29.2%

31.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cambridge United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Cambridge United's performance.

Colchester United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Colchester United might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cambridge United than the current prediction. (-10%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Cambridge United that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Colchester United than the current prediction. (+10.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Colchester United could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
92.3%	0%	7.7%

Cambridge United - Colchester United Predictions

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Cambridge will win (votes: 12 - 92.3%). Colchester will win (votes: 1 - 7.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Cambridge: 77.8% – 100%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DNB - Cambridge (1.40) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Cambridge United will win (8 of 9 users predict this - 88.89%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 10 Selected Experts predict this event. Cambridge (votes: 9 - 90%). Colchester (votes: 1 - 10%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Eastwood J. (G) 26. Gibbons J. (C) 23. Jobe M. 6. Watts K. 3. Purrington B. 21. McLoughlin S. 17. Mpanzu P. 7. Brophy J. 14. Knight B. 11. Kaikai S. 9. Appere L.	1. Macey M. (G) 30. Vincent-Young K. 5. Tucker J. (C) 24. Araujo H. 2. Hunt R. 16. Read A. 8. Bishop T. 14. Lisbie K. 10. Payne J. 21. Edwards O. 9. Tovide S.
Substitutes
2. Bennett L. 25. Hughes B. (G) 19. Lavery S. 27. McConnell G. 24. Nevitt E. 28. Raggett S. 8. Smith K.	27. Akachukwu R. 22. Back F. 25. Barbrook F. 19. Goodwin W. 12. Smith T. (G) 40. Terry F. 17. Williams J.
Coaches
Harris N.	Cowley D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
3', 1 - 0, Watts K. ⚽, Knight B. (A),
22', Bishop T. 🟨,
30', 1 - 1, Payne J. ⚽,
43', Purrington B. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
63', Edwards O. ↓, Akachukwu R. ↑,
71', Bishop T. ↓, Barbrook F. ↑,
71', Tovide S. ↓, Goodwin W. ↑,
72', Brophy J. ↓, Smith K. ↑,
72', Appere L. ↓, Lavery S. ↑,
72', Purrington B. ↓, Bennett L. ↑,
84', Gibbons J. 🟨,
90+5', Read A. 🟨,

Preview

This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ League One and 12).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cambridge won 2.

Cambridge is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Colchester has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Cambridge may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Cambridge is seen as the favorite.

There will not play in Cambridge: Kouassi K. (Hamstring Injury) Mayor A. (Inactive) Morrison M. (Injury)

There will not play in Colchester: Mbick M. (Inactive) Perry B. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Cambridge: Bradshaw Z. (Inactive) Hoddle G. (Inactive)

There are questionable in Colchester: Anderson H. (Inactive) Iandolo E. (Injury)

In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Cambridge won 6 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 15:21. (average 1.1:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Cambridge won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 10:7. (average 1.4:1).

Outrights of English League Two for now

Colchester: 1.62%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
19	Colchester	9	2	4	3	10:13	-3	10

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cambridge United
English League Two
14.02.26	Cambridge United - Bristol Rovers	3:1 ✺
10.02.26	Crawley Town - Cambridge United	0:3 ✺
07.02.26	Harrogate Town - Cambridge United	2:1 ✺
31.01.26	Oldham Athletic - Cambridge United	0:3 ✺
27.01.26	Cambridge United - Shrewsbury Town	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.6 WWLWW
- Colchester United
English League Two
14.02.26	Barrow - Colchester United	1:0 ✺
07.02.26	Colchester United - Shrewsbury Town	2:0 ✺
31.01.26	Crewe Alexandra - Colchester United	1:0 ✺
27.01.26	Colchester United - Grimsby Town	0:1 ✺
24.01.26	Colchester United - Fleetwood Town	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 LWLLW

Latest Head to Head

English League Two
19.08.25	Colchester United - Cambridge United	1:2
Club Friendly
03.08.24	Colchester United - Cambridge United	6:0
English EFL Trophy
17.10.23	Cambridge United - Colchester United	1:2
English League Two
16.01.21	Colchester United - Cambridge United	1:1
15.12.20	Cambridge United - Colchester United	2:1
01.02.20	Cambridge United - Colchester United	2:1
17.08.19	Colchester United - Cambridge United	1:2

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