Match Info

League Two - Round 30

Date: 31 January 2026, Saturday

Location: Alexandra Stadium (Crewe)

Referee: Bell E. (Eng)


	Crewe Alexandra		Colchester United

	1	X	2
	2.5	3.4	2.65	Watch
	2.5	3.2	2.75
	2.52	3.35	2.68	Watch
	2.6	3.43	2.72
	2.58	3.33	2.63	Watch
	2.5	3.2	2.6
	2.52	3.36	2.67	Watch
	2.57	3.4	2.62
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.54 ↑ (2.47)	3.33 ↑ (3.2)	2.67 ↓ (2.69)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Crewe Alexandra
36.9%

Draw
28%

Colchester United
35.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.1%

28.7%

34.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.7%

30.7%

32%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Crewe Alexandra has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

Colchester United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Crewe Alexandra than the current prediction. (+2.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Colchester United than the current prediction. (-3.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	33.3%	16.7%

Crewe Alexandra - Colchester United Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Crewe will win (votes: 3 - 50%). Colchester will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
41. Lawlor I. (G) 2. Billington L. 25. Pond A. 5. Demetriou M. (C) 3. Hutchinson R. 23. Powell J. 6. Sanders M. H. 26. O'Reilly T. 17. Holicek M. 20. Agius C. 24. March J.	1. Macey M. (G) 22. Back F. 5. Tucker J. (C) 24. Araujo H. 2. Hunt R. 25. Barbrook F. 15. Gape D. 14. Lisbie K. 10. Payne J. 21. Edwards O. 19. Goodwin W.
Substitutes
1. Booth T. (G) 18. Connolly J. 14. Finney C. 19. Lunt O. 32. Moore L. 29. Thibaut A. 8. Thomas C.	23. Akande A. 11. Gordon J. 34. Lisbie K. 12. Smith T. (G) 40. Terry F. 9. Tovide S. 17. Williams J.
Coaches
Bell L.	Cowley D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
49', Gape D. 🟨,
56', March J. ↓, Thibaut A. ↑,
57', Powell J. ↓, Lunt O. ↑,
62', Goodwin W. ↓, Tovide S. ↑,
65', Sanders M. H. ↓, Moore L. ↑,
68', 1 - 0, Agius C. ⚽, Thibaut A. (A),
71', Gape D. ↓, Williams J. ↑,
74', Back F. 🟨,
76', O'Reilly T. ↓, Thomas C. ↑,
81', Hunt R. ↓, Gordon J. ↑,
90+5', Payne J. 🟨,

Preview

Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 12 and 10).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Crewe won 1.

Crewe has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Colchester is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

There will not play in Crewe: Lankester J. (Knee Injury) Tabiner J. (Knee Injury) Tracey S. (Broken Leg)

There will not play in Colchester: Anderson H. (Inactive) Flanagan T. (Knee Injury) Iandolo E. (Injury) Perry B. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Crewe: Bogle O. (Inactive) Tezgel E. (Ankle Injury) Thomas C. (Inactive)

There are questionable in Colchester: Bishop T. (Inactive)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Crewe won 8 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 20:30. (average 1:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Crewe won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 9:6. (average 0.9:0.6).

Outrights of English League Two for now

Crewe: 3.91% Colchester: 1.62%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Crewe	10	4	6	0	12:7	5	18
19	Colchester	9	2	4	3	10:13	-3	10

Last Results with these Odds

Crewe Alexandra - the odds 2.47 are the expected chance of winning is 37.13%, but this team recently wins 9% of matches with these odds.

Colchester United - the odds 2.69 are the expected chance of winning is 34.17%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Crewe Alexandra
English League Two
27.01.26	Bromley - Crewe Alexandra	2:2 ✺
24.01.26	Notts County - Crewe Alexandra	1:0 ✺
17.01.26	Crewe Alexandra - Barrow	3:1 ✺
10.01.26	Crewe Alexandra - Harrogate Town	1:1 ✺
01.01.26	Crewe Alexandra - Cheltenham Town	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 TLWTW
- Colchester United
English League Two
27.01.26	Colchester United - Grimsby Town	0:1 ✺
24.01.26	Colchester United - Fleetwood Town	2:1 ✺
17.01.26	Bristol Rovers - Colchester United	0:1 ✺
01.01.26	Colchester United - Milton Keynes Dons	1:0 ✺
29.12.25	Gillingham - Colchester United	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.6 LWWWT

Latest Head to Head

English League Two
06.09.25	Colchester United - Crewe Alexandra	1:1
18.04.25	Colchester United - Crewe Alexandra	0:0
20.12.24	Crewe Alexandra - Colchester United	0:0
27.04.24	Colchester United - Crewe Alexandra	1:1
23.09.23	Crewe Alexandra - Colchester United	2:1
10.04.23	Colchester United - Crewe Alexandra	4:0
12.11.22	Crewe Alexandra - Colchester United	1:0

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