Match Info

League Two - Round 26

Date: 10 February 2026, Tuesday

Location: The Broadfield Stadium (Crawley)

Referee: Chilowicz A. (Usa)

Where to Watch on TV:


United-kingdom	Sky Sports+


	Crawley Town		Cambridge United

	1	X	2
	3.2	3.4	2.1
	3.25	3.35	2.12
	3.33	3.47	2.2
	3.23	3.32	2.18	Watch
	3.1	3.2	2.15
	3.26	3.28	2.17	Watch
	3.25	3.4	2.16
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.23 ↑ (2.56)	3.35 ↑ (3.25)	2.15 ↓ (2.52)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Crawley Town
28.9%

Draw
27.9%

Cambridge United
43.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.7%

28.1%

36.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36%

28.3%

35.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Crawley Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Crawley Town's form might have worsened.

Cambridge United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Cambridge United's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Crawley Town than the current prediction. (+7.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Crawley Town, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cambridge United than the current prediction. (-7.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Cambridge United, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	6.7%	73.3%

Crawley Town - Cambridge United Predictions

Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Crawley will win (votes: 3 - 20%). Cambridge will win (votes: 11 - 73.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 6.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Cambridge: 50.9% – 95.7%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Crawley (2.43) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DNB - Crawley (2.36) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Cambridge United will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. Crawley (votes: 2 - 28.6%). Cambridge (votes: 5 - 71.4%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
35. Chapman J. (G) 31. Odimayo A. 42. Vassell T. 28. Flint J. 7. Forster H. 26. Williams J. (C) 49. Darcy R. 12. Richards L. 44. Lolos K. 13. McKirdy H. 99. Orsi-Dadomo D.	1. Eastwood J. (G) 26. Gibbons J. (C) 23. Jobe M. 6. Watts K. 2. Bennett L. 21. McLoughlin S. 38. Hoddle G. 7. Brophy J. 14. Knight B. 17. Mpanzu P. 9. Appere L.
Substitutes
4. Bajrami G. 5. Barker C. 30. Copley L. 41. Gordon K. 19. Pereira D. 32. Richards T.	4. Ball D. 25. Hughes B. (G) 11. Kaikai S. 19. Lavery S. 24. Nevitt E. 3. Purrington B. 28. Raggett S.
Coaches
Lindsey S.	Harris N.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
37', Darcy R. 🟨,
42', Hoddle G. ↓, Ball D. ↑,
44', 0 - 1, McLoughlin S. ⚽, Gibbons J. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 2)
61', McKirdy H. ↓, Richards T. ↑,
61', Richards L. ↓, Gordon K. ↑,
68', Brophy J. ↓, Kaikai S. ↑,
68', Appere L. ↓, Lavery S. ↑,
69', Knight B. ↓, Purrington B. ↑,
69', Vassell T. ↓, Bajrami G. ↑,
76', 0 - 2, Kaikai S. ⚽, Lavery S. (A),
89', Gordon K. 🟨,
90+4', Williams J. 🟨,
90+5', Mpanzu P. ↓, Nevitt E. ↑,
90+5', 0 - 3, Kaikai S. ⚽, Bennett L. (A),

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 20 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Crawley won 2.

Crawley has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Cambridge is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Cambridge will hold a modest advantage in this match.

There will not play in Crawley: Cashman D. (Inactive) Flower L. (Inactive) Malone S. (Injury)

There will not play in Cambridge: Kouassi K. (Hamstring Injury) Mayor A. (Inactive) Morrison M. (Injury)

There are questionable in Crawley: Loft R. (Injury)

There are questionable in Cambridge: Bradshaw Z. (Inactive) Smith K. (Injury)

In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Crawley won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 17:22. (average 1.1:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Crawley won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 8:7. (average 1.1:1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
24	Crawley	8	1	2	5	8:15	-7	5

Last Results with these Odds

Cambridge United - the odds 2.52 are the expected chance of winning is 36.24%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Crawley Town
English League Two
07.02.26	Crawley Town - Crewe Alexandra	0:1 ✺
31.01.26	Crawley Town - Harrogate Town	2:0 ✺
27.01.26	Walsall - Crawley Town	0:0 ✺
24.01.26	Barrow - Crawley Town	0:1 ✺
17.01.26	Crawley Town - Notts County	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 LWTWL
- Cambridge United
English League Two
07.02.26	Harrogate Town - Cambridge United	2:1 ✺
31.01.26	Oldham Athletic - Cambridge United	0:3 ✺
27.01.26	Cambridge United - Shrewsbury Town	1:0 ✺
24.01.26	Cambridge United - Tranmere Rovers	4:2 ✺
17.01.26	Fleetwood Town - Cambridge United	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.5 LWWWW

Latest Head to Head

English League Two
04.10.25	Cambridge United - Crawley Town	3:1
English League One
01.03.25	Crawley Town - Cambridge United	0:2
17.08.24	Cambridge United - Crawley Town	0:1
English League Two
30.01.21	Cambridge United - Crawley Town	3:1
31.10.20	Crawley Town - Cambridge United	2:1
02.11.19	Cambridge United - Crawley Town	2:1
26.12.18	Cambridge United - Crawley Town	2:1

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