The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Colchester United 54.5%
Draw 26.2%
Shrewsbury Town 19.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
56.7%
25.5%
17.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
59%
24.5%
17.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Colchester United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)
Shrewsbury Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Colchester United than the current prediction. (+4.5%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Shrewsbury Town than the current prediction. (-2.1%)
Colchester United - Shrewsbury Town Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Macey M. (G) 30. Vincent-Young K. 5. Tucker J. (C) 24. Araujo H. 2. Hunt R. 16. Read A. 8. Bishop T. 14. Lisbie K. 10. Payne J. 9. Tovide S. 19. Goodwin W.
1. Cox M. (G) 2. Hoole L. 5. Boyle W. 25. Ruffels J. 20. Kabia I. 16. Freeman N. 6. Clucas S. 3. Benning M. 11. Scully A. 9. Lloyd G. 27. Marquis J. (C)
Substitutes
27. Akachukwu R. 22. Back F. 25. Barbrook F. 21. Edwards O. 6. Flanagan T. 12. Smith T. (G) 17. Williams J.
4. Anderson T. 30. Berkoe K. 12. Brook W. (G) 7. McDermott T. 19. Morgan I. 14. Perry T. 10. Sang T.
Coaches
Cowley D.
Appleton M.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 0)
4', 1 - 0, Goodwin W. ⚽, Tovide S. (A),
10', Freeman N. 🟨,
18', Clucas S. ↓, Perry T. ↑,
37', 2 - 0, Read A. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Scully A. ↓, Morgan I. ↑,
53', Lisbie K. 🟨,
54', Ruffels J. 🟨,
63', Tovide S. ↓, Edwards O. ↑,
63', Bishop T. ↓, Barbrook F. ↑,
63', Benning M. ↓, Berkoe K. ↑,
63', Freeman N. ↓, Sang T. ↑,
71', Lloyd G. ↓, McDermott T. ↑,
74', Goodwin W. ↓, Williams J. ↑,
74', Read A. ↓, Akachukwu R. ↑,
78', Hunt R. 🟨,
84', Macey M. 🟨,
89', Lisbie K. ↓, Flanagan T. ↑,
90', Vincent-Young K. 🟨,
Preview
A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 13 and 22).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Colchester won 2.
Colchester has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Shrewsbury is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
In this match, Colchester is a strong favorite.
There will not play in Colchester: Anderson H.
(Inactive)
Flanagan T.
(Knee Injury)
Iandolo E.
(Injury)
Perry B.
(Knee Injury)
There will not play in Shrewsbury: Ihionvien B.
(Inactive)
There are questionable in Colchester: Bishop T.
(Inactive)
There are questionable in Shrewsbury: Samuel-Ogunsuyi T.
(Inactive)
In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Colchester won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 10:10. (average 1.3:1.3).
Including home matches between the teams, Colchester won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0. (average 0.3:0).
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Macey M. (G) 
Vincent-Young K. 
Hoole L. 
Boyle W. 
Kabia I. 
Scully A. 
Flanagan T. 
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