Match Info

ENGLAND: LEAGUE ONE - ROUND 6

Date: 2 September 2023, Saturday

Location: Kassam Stadium (Oxford)

Referee: Purkiss S. (Eng)


	Oxford United		Port Vale

	1	X	2
	1.7	3.8	5
	1.7	3.8	5
	1.7	3.87	5.24
	1.62	3.5	4.4
	1.68	3.82	5	Watch
	1.7	3.75	4.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.68 ↓ (1.91)	3.76 ↑ (3.47)	4.89 ↑ (3.92)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Oxford United
55.8%

Draw
25%

Port Vale
19.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.1%

27%

23.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.4%

27.7%

23.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Oxford United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Oxford United's performance.

Port Vale has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Oxford United than the current prediction. (-5.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Oxford United that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Port Vale than the current prediction. (+4.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
93.7%	0%	6.2%

Oxford United - Port Vale Predictions

Users Predictions: Oxford United will win (15 of 16 users predict this - 93.75%).
Confidence interval (95%): 81.89% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Beadle J. (G) 15. Stevens F. 5. Moore E. 28. Negru S. 22. Leigh G. 19. Goodrham T. 18. McGuane M. 20. Rodrigues R. 8. Brannagan C. 10. Bodin B. 9. Harris M.	1. Ripley C. (G) 2. Cass L. 6. Smith N. 17. Iacovitti A. 7. Clark M. 14. Ojo F. 18. Arblaster O. 21. Plant J. 10. Chislett E. 29. Wilson J. 19. Massey G.
Substitutes
3. Brown C. 13. Eastwood S. (G) 29. Edwards K. 6. McEachran J. 7. Mills S. 39. O'Donkor G. 14. Smyth O.	11. Devine A. 8. Garrity B. 15. Grant C. 13. Leutwiler J. (G) 16. Lowe J. 4. Sang T. 44. Thomas J.
Coaches
Manning L.	Crosby A.

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Oxford won 2.

Oxford is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Port Vale in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Port Vale could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Oxford is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Oxford to win the game is with odds 1.68.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Oxford won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 10-8.

Including matches at home between the teams Oxford won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 8-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Oxford United
English League One
26.08.23	Oxford United - Charlton Athletic	2:1 ✺
19.08.23	Barnsley - Oxford United	1:3 ✺
15.08.23	Derby County - Oxford United	1:2 ✺
12.08.23	Oxford United - Carlisle United	1:0 ✺
English League Cup
09.08.23	Bristol City - Oxford United	5:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21 WWWWL
- Port Vale
English League Cup
29.08.23	Port Vale - Crewe Alexandra	1:0 penalties ✺
English League One
26.08.23	Port Vale - Carlisle United	1:0 ✺
19.08.23	Charlton Athletic - Port Vale	2:3 ✺
15.08.23	Blackpool - Port Vale	0:0 ✺
12.08.23	Port Vale - Reading	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.6 WWWTW

Latest Head to Head

English League One
10.04.23	Port Vale - Oxford United	0:0
12.11.22	Oxford United - Port Vale	4:0
English FA Cup
03.11.17	Port Vale - Oxford United	2:0
English League One
17.04.17	Oxford United - Port Vale	2:0
22.10.16	Port Vale - Oxford United	2:2
English League Two
02.03.13	Oxford United - Port Vale	2:1
15.10.12	Port Vale - Oxford United	3:0

Upcoming Matches