The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Port Vale 44.5%
Draw 28.8%
Northampton Town 26.7%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
44.9%
28.7%
26.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
44.9%
28.7%
26.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Port Vale has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)
Northampton Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Port Vale than the current prediction. (+0.4%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Northampton Town than the current prediction. (-0.3%)
Port Vale - Northampton Town Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Preview
Postponed due to international match.
A high-tension relegation six-pointer between two sides desperate to escape the danger zone (ranked 23rd in the Relegation ~ National League and 22nd).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Port Vale won 2.
Port Vale is going through a lean spell lately (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Northampton has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Port Vale may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
Recently, Port Vale has faced a series of away games on the road.
Port Vale is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.
Confirmed absences for Port Vale: Faal M.
(Inactive)
Simpson T.
(Inactive).
Confirmed absences for Northampton: Burroughs J.
(Inactive)
Donacien J.
(Inactive)
List E.
(Inactive)
Perkins J.
(Inactive)
Shaw L.
(Knee Injury).
In the last 15 head-to-head meetings, Port Vale has recorded 5 wins, 4 draws, and 6 losses, with a goal aggregate of 13:14 (averaging 0.9:0.9 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Port Vale against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 4 draws, and 1 loss, with 8:6 goals (averaging 1.1:0.9 per game).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
19
Northampton
11
3
4
4
8:8
0
13
23
Port Vale
11
3
3
5
6:12
-6
12
Outrights of English League Two for now
Port Vale: 4.89% Northampton: 2.63%
Last Results with these Odds
Port Vale - the odds 2.06 are the expected chance of winning is 44.9%, but this team recently wins 33% of matches with these odds.
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